arXiv:2610.36229v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI coding agents such as Claude Code, GitHub Copilot coding agent, and Cursor now commit directly to open-source repositories. Empirical studies of these agents identify their commits through authorship signatures, such as bot accounts and Co-authored-by trailers. These signatures are optional, can be removed, and are often attached to pull requests rather than to individual commits. Hence, it is unclear whether Agent commits can be told apart from Human commits once the signatures are gone. We investigate the signals and limits of signature-free detection using 7,837,946 commits from 1,226 repositories, covering five coding agents and Human commits. After signatures are masked, detectors rank Agent commits above Human commits with a ROC AUC of up to 0.859, and most of this signal comes from message verbosity and change size rather than from the code itself. On the shared sample, gpt-6-sol without fine-tuning reaches AUCs similar to XGBoost and TF-IDF. At the observed Agent share, however, the best detector on the full test set reaches a precision of only 0.332. Detection transfers poorly to held-out Claude Code and Copilot, with TF-IDF reaching an AUC of only 0.524 for Claude Code. Temporal changes also depend on the agent, e.g., Copilot AUC drops and later recovers, while more training history helps Claude Code but not Copilot. These results indicate that signature-free detection can prioritize commits for review but cannot replace recorded attribution, and that studies relying on signature-based labels should treat them as a lower bound on agent activity.
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