arXiv:2611.13333v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As AI agents increasingly perform tasks autonomously across sectors, including healthcare and biomedical research, understanding how their behaviors develop and influence outcomes over time becomes increasingly important. Existing evaluations largely focus on model capabilities and performance on predefined tasks. Here, we propose an epidemiologic cohort design for studying agentic AI, drawing on principles established in human population studies. The framework treats individual agents as members of a cohort, their underlying model as genetic makeup, accumulated work as their time scale, and naturally occurring behaviors as exposures that may influence subsequent outcomes. By following agents longitudinally, this approach enables investigation of behavioral determinants of adverse events, estimation of their potential preventable burden under causal assumptions, and characterization of behavioral changes over an agent's work life. We illustrate the design through two prospective observational cohorts examining curiosity and probing as a safety question, and data checking and analytical accuracy as a reliability question. Together, the framework and illustrative studies provide a generalizable blueprint for designing epidemiologic cohorts of AI agents.
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