,,ii #aaith ,,congress #ast ,session ,s4 #bdbb ,,in ,,the ,,senate ,,of ,,the ,,united ,,states ,july #bc1 #bjbe ,mr4 ,markey 7for himself1 ,mr4 ,sanders1 ,mr4 ,merkley1 and ,mr4 ,van ,hollen7 introduced the following bill2 which was read twice and referred to the ,committee on ,armed ,services ,a ,,bill ,to pause development of the new ,sentinel program1 extend the life of the ,minuteman ,,iii1 and redirect savings from ,sentinel toward the ,department of ,education1 and for other purposes4 #a4 ,short title ,this ,act may be cited as the ,investing in ,children ,before ,missiles ,act of #bjbe or the ,,icbm ,act4 #b4 ,findings ,congress finds the following3 7#a7 ,according to the ,congressional ,budget ,office1 the projected cost to sustain and modernize the ,united ,states nuclear arsenal1 as of #bjbe1 is #idf billion over the #bjbe-bjcd period1 or an average of about #ie billion a year1 and nuclear forces account for #h4d percent of the total #aj-year cost of the plans for national defense outlined in the ,president's #bjbe budget submission4 7#b7 ,in ,september #bjbj1 the ,air ,force awarded a sole-source contract to ,northrop ,grumman for the ground-based strategic deterrent program 7now called ,sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile program71 raising concerns that the absence of competition for the award would result in higher than projected costs to ,united ,states taxpayers4 ,the program is intended to replace #djj deployed ,minuteman ,,iii missiles with more than #fjj new missiles1 to allow for test flights and spares4 7#c7 ,the ,sentinel program has encountered significant cost growth and schedule delays in recent years1 and the full extent of both remains uncertain as the ,department of ,defense is currently restructuring the program4 7#d7 ,in ,january #bjbd1 increases in the total costs of the ,sentinel program triggered a review under chapter #cbe of title #aj1 ,united ,states ,code 7commonly known as the ,nunn-,mc,curdy ,act71 which is intended to determine whether a program that has experienced large cost overruns should continue1 and what1 if any1 changes should be made to control costs4 7#e7 ,in ,july #bjbd1 the ,department of ,defense completed that review and released a new estimate of total costs for the program of #ada1jjj1jjj1jjj in constant #bjbj dollars1 which is #ha percent 7or #fc1jjj1jjj1jjj7 larger than the program's baseline #bjbj estimate of #gh1jjj1jjj1jjj4 ,the total estimated life cycle cost of the ,sentinel program 7not including warheads7 was estimated by the ,department of ,defense to be #bfj1jjj1jjj1jjj in #bjbj and is undoubtedly higher today4 7#f7 ,in ,may #bjbe1 the ,air ,force announced the ,sentinel program will likely predominantly require digging fresh missile silos1 a significant change from previous plans to reuse existing silos and a move that would likely cause further significant cost increases and schedule delays4 7#g7 ,according to public reports1 officials of the ,department of ,defense expect the restructuring effort to delay the ,sentinel program by several years4 ,the ,department of ,defense's #bjbe budget plans called for initial operating capability to be achieved in ,may #bjbi1 a date that1 as of the date of the enactment of this ,act1 looks unachievable4 ,the ,air ,force is considering contingency plans that would extend the life of ,minuteman ,,iii intercontinental ballistic missiles by #aa more years to #bjej if delays continue to plague the ,sentinel missiles intended to replace them4 7#h7 ,the ,national ,nuclear ,security ,administration is developing a replacement intercontinental ballistic missile warhead1 the ,w#hg-a1 for the ,sentinel and expanding plutonium pit production to build new warhead cores1 costing at least #ad1jjj1jjj1jjj and #ah1jjj1jjj1jjj1 respectively4 7#i7 ,even in the absence of an intercontinental ballistic missile leg of the triad1 the ,united ,states would have an assured retaliatory capability in the form of multiple ballistic missile submarines1 which are virtually undetectable1 and there are no known1 near-term credible threats to the survivability of the ballistic missile submarine force4 ,the survivability of the submarine force will be enhanced as the ,department of ,defense moves to replace the ,ohio class ballistic submarine fleet with the new ,columbia class ballistic missile fleet4 7#aj7 ,while intercontinental ballistic missiles have historically been the most responsive leg of the ,united ,states nuclear triad1 advances in ballistic missile submarine communications to allow for the dissemination of emergency action messages in wartime have negated that advantage4 7#aa7 ,intercontinental ballistic missiles based in silos are vulnerable and1 once launched1 cannot be recalled1 leaving decisionmakers with mere minutes to decide whether to launch the missiles before they are destroyed1 known as a posture of launch on warning or launch under attack in the face of a perceived nuclear attack1 greatly increasing the risk of a national leader initiating a nuclear war by mistake4 7#ab7 ,under current policy1 the ,president has the authority-- 7,a7 to launch ,united ,states nuclear weapons first and is not limited to retaliation2 7,b7 to launch nuclear weapons under warning of attack1 rather than waiting for evidence of attack2 and 7,c7 to launch nuclear weapons on the ,president's sole order4 7#ac7 ,false alarms have happened multiple times and can happen again4 ,for example1 in #aihj1 a false alarm was reported to the ,assistant to the ,president for ,national ,security ,affairs and was almost reported up to ,president ,jimmy ,carter as a real attack but was luckily identified in time4 ,recent ,pentagon reports have found that1 as a result of cyberattacks1 the ,president could be faced with false warnings of attack or lose the ability to control nuclear weapons4 7#ad7 ,in #aihc1 ,stanislav ,petrov1 a former lieutenant colonel of the ,soviet ,air ,defense ,forces correctly identified a false warning in an early warning system that showed several ,united ,states incoming nuclear missiles1 preventing ,soviet leaders from launching a retaliatory response1 earning ,colonel ,petrov the nickname the man who saved the world4 7#ae7 ,former ,secretary of ,defense ,william ,j4 ,perry wrote that the ground-based leg of the nuclear triad is destabilizing because it invites an attack and intercontinental ballistic missiles are some of the most dangerous weapons in the world and could even trigger an accidental nuclear war4 7#af7 ,general ,james ,cartwright1 former vice chair of the ,joint ,chiefs of ,staff and former ,commander of the ,united ,states ,strategic ,command1 wrote1 with ,secretary ,perry1 ,the greatest danger is not a ,russian bolt but a ,,us blunder--that we might accidentally stumble into nuclear war4 ,as we make decisions about which weapons to buy1 we should use this simple rule3 ,if a nuclear weapon increases the risk of accidental war and is not needed to deter an intentional attack1 we should not build it4 ''' ,certain nuclear weapons1 such as ''' the intercontinental ballistic missile1 carry higher risks of accidental war that1 fortunately1 we no longer need to bear4 ,we are safer without these expensive weapons1 and it would be foolish to replace them44 7#ag7 ,general ,george ,lee ,butler1 the former ,commander-in-,chief of the ,strategic ,air ,command and subsequently ,commander-in-,chief of the ,united ,states ,strategic ,command1 said1 ,i would have removed land-based missiles from our arsenal a long time ago4 ,i'd be happy to put that mission on the submarines4 ,so1 with a significant fraction of bombers having a nuclear weapons capability that can be restored to alert very quickly1 and with even a small component of ,trident submarines--with all those missiles and all those warheads on patrol--it's hard to imagine we couldn't get by44 7#ah7 ,while a sudden bolt from the blue first strike from a near-peer nuclear adversary is a highly unlikely scenario1 extending the ,minuteman ,,iii would maintain the purported role of the intercontinental ballistic missile leg of the triad to absorb such an attack4 #c4 ,statement of policy on ,minuteman ,,iii1 ,sentinel1 and education funding ,it is the policy of the ,united ,states that-- 7#a7 as of the date of the enactment of this ,act1 the ,sentinel program is significantly over budget and behind schedule and should be paused and reevaluated for need and technical merit2 7#b7 the operational life of the ,minuteman ,,iii missile should be safely extended until at least #bjej2 and 7#c7 investments in the ,department of ,education are a better use of ,united ,states taxpayer resources than continuing with the current ,sentinel program4 #d4 ,availability of funds for education instead of ,sentinel 7a7 ,transfer from ,department of ,defense ,the ,secretary of ,defense shall transfer all amounts appropriated to the ,department of ,defense for the research1 development1 test1 and evaluation of the ,sentinel program1 and available for obligation as of the date of the enactment of this ,act1 to the ,department of ,education to carry out part ,a of title ,i of the ,elementary and ,secondary ,education ,act of #aife 7#bj ,u4,s4,c4 #fcaa et seq474 7b7 ,transfer from ,national ,nuclear ,security ,administration ,the ,secretary of ,energy shall transfer all amounts appropriated to the ,national ,nuclear ,security ,administration for the ,w#hg-a warhead modification program1 and available for obligation as of the date of the enactment of this ,act1 to the ,department of ,education to carry out part ,a of title ,i of the ,elementary and ,secondary ,education ,act of #aife 7#bj ,u4,s4,c4 #fcaa et seq474 #e4 ,prohibition on use of funds for ground-based strategic deterrent program and ,w#hg-a warhead modification program ,none of the funds authorized to be appropriated or otherwise made available for fiscal year #bjbf may be obligated or expended for the ,sentinel program or the ,w#hg-a warhead modification program4 #f4 ,independent study on extension of ,minuteman ,,iii intercontinental ballistic missiles 7a7 ,independent study ,not later than #cj days after the date of the enactment of this ,act1 the ,secretary of ,defense shall seek to enter into a contract with the ,national ,academy of ,sciences to conduct a study on extending the life of ,minuteman ,,iii intercontinental ballistic missiles to #bjej or beyond4 7b7 ,staffing 7#a7 ,experts ,the conduct of the study required by subsection 7a7 shall include input from a wide variety of technical and subject matter experts4 7#b7 ,prohibition on certain ,air ,force employees ,no member or former member of the ,air ,force or employee or former employee of the ,department of the ,air ,force who is or was paid for work relating to the ,sentinel program may participate in the conduct of the study required by subsection 7a74 7c7 ,elements ,the study required by subsection 7a7 shall address the following3 7#a7 ,a comparison of the costs through #bjej of-- 7,a7 extending the life of ,minuteman ,,iii intercontinental ballistic missiles2 and 7,b7 deploying the ,sentinel program4 7#b7 ,an analysis of opportunities to incorporate technologies into the ,minuteman ,,iii intercontinental ballistic missile program as part of a service life extension program that could also be incorporated in a possible future ,sentinel program1 including1 at a minimum1 opportunities to increase resilience against adversary missile defenses4 7#c7 ,an analysis of the benefits and risks of incorporating sensors and nondestructive testing methods and technologies to reduce destructive testing requirements and increase the service life and number of ,minuteman ,,iii missiles through #bjej4 7#d7 ,an analysis and validation of the methods used to estimate the operational service life of ,minuteman ,,ii and ,minuteman ,,iii motors1 taking into account the test and launch experience of motors retired after the operational service life of such motors in the rocket systems launch program4 7#e7 ,an analysis of the risks and benefits of alternative methods of estimating the operational service life of ,minuteman ,,iii motors1 such as those methods based on fundamental physical and chemical processes and nondestructive measurements of individual motor properties4 7#f7 ,an analysis of risks1 benefits1 and costs of configuring a ,trident ,,ii ,d#e submarine-launched ballistic missile for deployment in a ,minuteman ,,iii silo4 7#g7 ,an analysis of the impacts of the estimated service life of the ,minuteman ,,iii force associated with decreasing the deployed intercontinental ballistic missiles delivery vehicle force from #djj to #cjj or less4 7#h7 ,an assessment of the extent to which the ,columbia class ballistic missile submarines will possess features that will enhance the current invulnerability of ballistic missile submarines of the ,united ,states to future antisubmarine warfare threats4 7#i7 ,an analysis of the extent to which an extension of the life of the ,minuteman ,,iii missiles would impact the decision of the ,russian ,federation to target intercontinental ballistic missiles of the ,united ,states in a crisis1 compared to proceeding with the ,sentinel4 7#aj7 ,a best case estimate of what percentage of the strategic forces of the ,united ,states would survive a counterforce strike from the ,russian ,federation1 broken down by intercontinental ballistic missiles1 ballistic missile submarines1 and heavy bomber aircraft4 7#aa7 ,the benefits1 risks1 and costs of relying on the ,w-#gh warhead for either the ,minuteman ,,iii or a new ,sentinel missile as compared to proceeding with the ,w-#hg life extension4 7#ab7 ,the benefits1 risks1 and costs of adding additional launchers on submarines or uploading submarine-launched ballistic missiles with additional warheads to compensate for a reduced deployment of intercontinental ballistic missiles of the ,united ,states4 7d7 ,report required 7#a7 ,submission to ,department of ,defense ,not later than #ahj days after the date of the enactment of this ,act1 the ,national ,academy of ,sciences shall submit to the ,secretary of ,defense a report containing the results of the study conducted under subsection 7a74 7#b7 ,submission to ,congress ,not later than #baj days after the date of the enactment of this ,act1 the ,secretary shall transmit to the appropriate congressional committees the report required by paragraph 7#a71 without change4 7#c7 ,form ,the report required by paragraph 7#a7 shall be submitted in unclassified form1 but may include a classified annex4 7#d7 ,appropriate congressional committees defined ,in this subsection1 the term appropriate congressional committees means-- 7,a7 the ,committee on ,armed ,services1 the ,committee on ,foreign ,relations1 and the ,committee on ,appropriations of the ,senate2 and 7,b7 the ,committee on ,armed ,services1 the ,committee on ,foreign ,affairs1 and the ,committee on ,appropriations of the ,house of ,representatives4