,i #aai? ,,congress #a/ ,session ,h4 ,r4 #dfhe ,,9 ,,! ,,h\se ,,( ,,repres5tatives ,july #bc1 #bjbe,mr4 ,khanna 7= himself1 ,mr4 ,mc,govern1 ,ms4 ,norton1 & ,mr4 ,?an$>7 introduc$ ! foll[+ bill2 :i* 0 ref]r$ to ! ,committee on ,arm$ ,s]vices1 & 9 addition to ! ,committee on ,appropriations1 = a p]iod to be subsequ5tly det]m9$ by ! ,speak]1 9 ea* case = consid]ation ( su* provisions z fall )9 ! jurisdiction ( ! committee conc]n$ ,a ,,bill ,to pause developm5t ( ! new ,s5t9el program1 ext5d ! life ( ! ,m9uteman ,,iii1 & r$irect sav+s f ,s5t9el t[>d ! ,dep>tm5t ( ,education1 & = o!r purposes4 #a4 ,%ort title ,?is ,act may be cit$ z ! ,inve/+ 9 ,*ildr5 ,be=e ,missiles ,act ( #bjbe or ! ,,icbm ,act4 #b4 ,f9d+s ,congress f9ds ! foll[+3 7#a7 ,accord+ to ! ,congressional ,budget ,(fice1 ! project$ co/ to su/a9 & mod]nize ! ,unit$ ,/ates nucle> ars5al1 z ( #bjbe1 is #idf billion ov] ! #bjbe-bjcd p]iod1 or an av]age ( ab\t #ie billion a ye>1 & nucle> =ces acc\nt = #h4d p]c5t ( ! total #aj-ye> co/ ( ! plans = national def5se outl9$ 9 ! ,presid5t's #bjbe budget submission4 7#b7 ,9 ,septemb] #bjbj1 ! ,air ,=ce aw>d$ a sole-s\rce contract to ,nor?rop ,grumman = ! gr\nd-bas$ /rategic det]r5t program 7n[ call$ ,s5t9el int]cont95tal balli/ic missile program71 rais+ conc]ns t ! abs5ce ( competition = ! aw>d w\ld result 9 high] ?an project$ co/s to ,unit$ ,/ates taxpay]s4 ,! program is int5d$ to replace #djj deploy$ ,m9uteman ,,iii missiles ) m ?an #fjj new missiles1 to all[ = te/ flights & sp>es4 7#c7 ,! ,s5t9el program has enc\nt]$ significant co/ gr[? & s*$ule delays 9 rec5t ye>s1 & ! full ext5t ( bo? rema9s unc]ta9 z ! ,dep>tm5t ( ,def5se is curr5tly re/ructur+ ! program4 7#d7 ,9 ,janu>y #bjbd1 increases 9 ! total co/s ( ! ,s5t9el program trigg]$ a review "u *apt] #cbe ( title #aj1 ,unit$ ,/ates ,code 7commonly kn[n z ! ,nunn-,mc,curdy ,act71 :i* is int5d$ to det]m9e :e!r a program t has exp]i5c$ l>ge co/ ov]runs %\ld cont9ue1 & :at1 if any1 *anges %\ld be made to control co/s4 7#e7 ,9 ,july #bjbd1 ! ,dep>tm5t ( ,def5se complet$ t review & releas$ a new e/imate ( total co/s = ! program ( #ada1jjj1jjj1jjj 9 con/ant #bjbj doll>s1 :i* is #ha p]c5t 7or #fc1jjj1jjj1jjj7 l>g] ?an ! program's basel9e #bjbj e/imate ( #gh1jjj1jjj1jjj4 ,! total e/imat$ life cycle co/ ( ! ,s5t9el program 7n includ+ w>heads7 0 e/imat$ by ! ,dep>tm5t ( ,def5se to be #bfj1jjj1jjj1jjj 9 #bjbj & is und\bt$ly high] today4 7#f7 ,9 ,may #bjbe1 ! ,air ,=ce ann\nc$ ! ,s5t9el program w likely pr$om9antly require digg+ fre% missile silos1 a significant *ange f previ\s plans to reuse exi/+ silos & a move t w\ld likely cause fur!r significant co/ increases & s*$ule delays4 7#g7 ,accord+ to public reports1 (ficials ( ! ,dep>tm5t ( ,def5se expect ! re/ructur+ ef=t to delay ! ,s5t9el program by sev]al ye>s4 ,! ,dep>tm5t ( ,def5se's #bjbe budget plans call$ = initial op]at+ capability to be a*iev$ 9 ,may #bjbi1 a date t1 z ( ! date ( ! enactm5t ( ?is ,act1 looks una*ievable4 ,! ,air ,=ce is consid]+ cont+5cy plans t w\ld ext5d ! life ( ,m9uteman ,,iii int]cont95tal balli/ic missiles by #aa m ye>s to #bjej if delays cont9ue to plague ! ,s5t9el missiles int5d$ to replace !m4 7#h7 ,! ,national ,nucle> ,security ,adm9i/ration is develop+ a replacem5t int]cont95tal balli/ic missile w>head1 ! ,w#hg-a1 = ! ,s5t9el & exp&+ plutonium pit production to build new w>head cores1 co/+ at lea/ #ad1jjj1jjj1jjj & #ah1jjj1jjj1jjj1 respectively4 7#i7 ,ev5 9 ! abs5ce ( an int]cont95tal balli/ic missile leg ( ! triad1 ! ,unit$ ,/ates w\ld h an assur$ retaliatory capability 9 ! =m ( multiple balli/ic missile subm>9es1 :i* are virtually undetectable1 & !re are no kn[n1 ne>-t]m cr$ible ?reats to ! survivability ( ! balli/ic missile subm>9e =ce4 ,! survivability ( ! subm>9e =ce w be enhanc$ z ! ,dep>tm5t ( ,def5se moves to replace ! ,ohio class balli/ic subm>9e fleet ) ! new ,columbia class balli/ic missile fleet4 7#aj7 ,:ile int]cont95tal balli/ic missiles h hi/orically be5 ! mo/ responsive leg ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates nucle> triad1 advances 9 balli/ic missile subm>9e communications to all[ = ! dissem9ation ( em]g5cy action messages 9 w>time h negat$ t advantage4 7#aa7 ,int]cont95tal balli/ic missiles bas$ 9 silos are vuln]able &1 once laun*$1 _c be recall$1 leav+ decisionmak]s ) m]e m9utes to decide :e!r to laun* ! missiles be=e !y are de/roy$1 kn[n z a po/ure ( laun* on w>n+ or laun* "u attack 9 ! face ( a p]ceiv$ nucle> attack1 greatly increas+ ! risk ( a national lead] initiat+ a nucle> w> by mi/ake4 7#ab7 ,"u curr5t policy1 ! ,presid5t has ! au?ority-- 7,a7 to laun* ,unit$ ,/ates nucle> weapons fir/ & is n limit$ to retaliation2 7,b7 to laun* nucle> weapons "u w>n+ ( attack1 r ?an wait+ = evid5ce ( attack2 & 7,c7 to laun* nucle> weapons on ! ,presid5t's sole ord]4 7#ac7 ,false al>ms h happ5$ multiple times & c happ5 aga94 ,= example1 9 #aihj1 a false al>m 0 report$ to ! ,assi/ant to ! ,presid5t = ,national ,security ,affairs & 0 almo/ report$ up to ,presid5t ,jimmy ,c>t] z a real attack b 0 luckily id5tifi$ 9 "t4 ,rec5t ,p5tagon reports h f\nd t1 z a result ( cyb]attacks1 ! ,presid5t c\ld be fac$ ) false w>n+s ( attack or lose ! ability to control nucle> weapons4 7#ad7 ,9 #aihc1 ,/anislav ,petrov1 a =m] lieut5ant colonel ( ! ,soviet ,air ,def5se ,=ces correctly id5tifi$ a false w>n+ 9 an e>ly w>n+ sy/em t %[$ sev]al ,unit$ ,/ates incom+ nucle> missiles1 prev5t+ ,soviet lead]s f laun*+ a retaliatory response1 e>n+ ,colonel ,petrov ! nickname ! man :o sav$ ! _w4 7#ae7 ,=m] ,secret>y ( ,def5se ,william ,j4 ,p]ry wrote t ! gr\nd-bas$ leg ( ! nucle> triad is de/abiliz+ because x invites an attack & int]cont95tal balli/ic missiles are "s ( ! mo/ dang]\s weapons 9 ! _w & c\ld ev5 trigg] an accid5tal nucle> w>4 7#af7 ,g5]al ,james ,c>twright1 =m] vice *air ( ! ,jo9t ,*iefs ( ,/aff & =m] ,comm&] ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates ,/rategic ,comm&1 wrote1 ) ,secret>y ,p]ry1 ,the greate/ dang] is n a ,russian bolt b a ,,u blund]--t we might accid5tally /umble into nucle> w>4 ,z we make decisions ab\t :i* weapons to buy1 we %\ld use ?is simple rule3 ,if a nucle> weapon increases ! risk ( accid5tal w> & is n ne$$ to det] an int5tional attack1 we %\ld n build x4 ''' ,c]ta9 nucle> weapons1 su* z ''' ! int]cont95tal balli/ic missile1 c>ry high] risks ( accid5tal w> t1 =tunately1 we no long] ne$ to be>4 ,we are saf] )\t ^! exp5sive weapons1 & x w\ld be fooli% to replace !m44 7#ag7 ,g5]al ,george ,lee ,butl]1 ! =m] ,comm&]-9-,*ief ( ! ,/rategic ,air ,comm& & subsequ5tly ,comm&]-9-,*ief ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates ,/rategic ,comm&1 said1 ,i w\ld h remov$ l&-bas$ missiles f our ars5al a long "t ago4 ,i'd be happy to put t mission on ! subm>9es4 ,s1 ) a significant fraction ( bomb]s hav+ a nucle> weapons capability t c be re/or$ to al]t v quickly1 & ) ev5 a small compon5t ( ,trid5t subm>9es--) all ^? missiles & all ^? w>heads on patrol--x's h>d to imag9e we c\ldn't get by44 7#ah7 ,:ile a sudd5 bolt f ! blue fir/ /rike f a ne>-pe] nucle> adv]s>y is a highly unlikely sc5>io1 ext5d+ ! ,m9uteman ,,iii w\ld ma9ta9 ! purport$ role ( ! int]cont95tal balli/ic missile leg ( ! triad to absorb su* an attack4 #c4 ,/atem5t ( policy on ,m9uteman ,,iii1 ,s5t9el1 & education fund+ ,x is ! policy ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates t-- 7#a7 z ( ! date ( ! enactm5t ( ?is ,act1 ! ,s5t9el program is significantly ov] budget & beh9d s*$ule & %\ld be paus$ & reevaluat$ = ne$ & te*nical m]it2 7#b7 ! op]ational life ( ! ,m9uteman ,,iii missile %\ld be safely ext5d$ until at lea/ #bjej2 & 7#c7 inve/m5ts 9 ! ,dep>tm5t ( ,education are a bett] use ( ,unit$ ,/ates taxpay] res\rces ?an cont9u+ ) ! curr5t ,s5t9el program4 #d4 ,availability ( funds = education in/ead ( ,s5t9el 7a7 ,transf] f ,dep>tm5t ( ,def5se ,! ,secret>y ( ,def5se %all transf] all am\nts appropriat$ to ! ,dep>tm5t ( ,def5se = ! rese>*1 developm5t1 te/1 & evaluation ( ! ,s5t9el program1 & available = obligation z ( ! date ( ! enactm5t ( ?is ,act1 to ! ,dep>tm5t ( ,education to c>ry out "p ,a ( title ,i ( ! ,elem5t>y & ,second>y ,education ,act ( #aife 7#bj ,u4,s4,c4 #fcaa et seq474 7b7 ,transf] f ,national ,nucle> ,security ,adm9i/ration ,! ,secret>y ( ,en]gy %all transf] all am\nts appropriat$ to ! ,national ,nucle> ,security ,adm9i/ration = ! ,w#hg-a w>head modification program1 & available = obligation z ( ! date ( ! enactm5t ( ?is ,act1 to ! ,dep>tm5t ( ,education to c>ry out "p ,a ( title ,i ( ! ,elem5t>y & ,second>y ,education ,act ( #aife 7#bj ,u4,s4,c4 #fcaa et seq474 #e4 ,prohibition on use ( funds = gr\nd-bas$ /rategic det]r5t program & ,w#hg-a w>head modification program ,none ( ! funds au?oriz$ to be appropriat$ or o!rwise made available = fiscal ye> #bjbf may be obligat$ or exp5d$ = ! ,s5t9el program or ! ,w#hg-a w>head modification program4 #f4 ,indep5d5t /udy on ext5sion ( ,m9uteman ,,iii int]cont95tal balli/ic missiles 7a7 ,indep5d5t /udy ,n lat] ?an #cj days aft] ! date ( ! enactm5t ( ?is ,act1 ! ,secret>y ( ,def5se %all seek to ent] into a contract ) ! ,national ,academy ( ,sci5ces to conduct a /udy on ext5d+ ! life ( ,m9uteman ,,iii int]cont95tal balli/ic missiles to #bjej or beyond4 7b7 ,/aff+ 7#a7 ,exp]ts ,! conduct ( ! /udy requir$ by subsection 7a7 %all include input f a wide v>iety ( te*nical & subject matt] exp]ts4 7#b7 ,prohibition on c]ta9 ,air ,=ce employees ,no memb] or =m] memb] ( ! ,air ,=ce or employee or =m] employee ( ! ,dep>tm5t ( ! ,air ,=ce :o is or 0 paid = "w relat+ to ! ,s5t9el program may p>ticipate 9 ! conduct ( ! /udy requir$ by subsection 7a74 7c7 ,elem5ts ,! /udy requir$ by subsection 7a7 %all address ! foll[+3 7#a7 ,a comp>ison ( ! co/s ?r\gh #bjej (-- 7,a7 ext5d+ ! life ( ,m9uteman ,,iii int]cont95tal balli/ic missiles2 & 7,b7 deploy+ ! ,s5t9el program4 7#b7 ,an analysis ( opportunities to incorporate te*nologies into ! ,m9uteman ,,iii int]cont95tal balli/ic missile program z "p ( a s]vice life ext5sion program t c\ld also be incorporat$ 9 a possible future ,s5t9el program1 includ+1 at a m9imum1 opportunities to increase resili5ce aga9/ adv]s>y missile def5ses4 7#c7 ,an analysis ( ! b5efits & risks ( incorporat+ s5sors & nonde/ructive te/+ me?ods & te*nologies to r$uce de/ructive te/+ requirem5ts & increase ! s]vice life & numb] ( ,m9uteman ,,iii missiles ?r\gh #bjej4 7#d7 ,an analysis & validation ( ! me?ods us$ to e/imate ! op]ational s]vice life ( ,m9uteman ,,ii & ,m9uteman ,,iii motors1 tak+ into acc\nt ! te/ & laun* exp]i5ce ( motors retir$ aft] ! op]ational s]vice life ( su* motors 9 ! rocket sy/ems laun* program4 7#e7 ,an analysis ( ! risks & b5efits ( alt]native me?ods ( e/imat+ ! op]ational s]vice life ( ,m9uteman ,,iii motors1 su* z ^? me?ods bas$ on fundam5tal physical & *emical processes & nonde/ructive measurem5ts ( individual motor prop]ties4 7#f7 ,an analysis ( risks1 b5efits1 & co/s ( configur+ a ,trid5t ,,ii ,d#e subm>9e-laun*$ balli/ic missile = deploym5t 9 a ,m9uteman ,,iii silo4 7#g7 ,an analysis ( ! impacts ( ! e/imat$ s]vice life ( ! ,m9uteman ,,iii =ce associat$ ) decreas+ ! deploy$ int]cont95tal balli/ic missiles deliv]y vehicle =ce f #djj to #cjj or less4 7#h7 ,an assessm5t ( ! ext5t to :i* ! ,columbia class balli/ic missile subm>9es w possess features t w enhance ! curr5t invuln]ability ( balli/ic missile subm>9es ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates to future antisubm>9e w>f>e ?reats4 7#i7 ,an analysis ( ! ext5t to :i* an ext5sion ( ! life ( ! ,m9uteman ,,iii missiles w\ld impact ! decision ( ! ,russian ,f$]ation to t>get int]cont95tal balli/ic missiles ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates 9 a crisis1 comp>$ to proce$+ ) ! ,s5t9el4 7#aj7 ,a be/ case e/imate ( :at p]c5tage ( ! /rategic =ces ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates w\ld survive a c\nt]=ce /rike f ! ,russian ,f$]ation1 brok5 d[n by int]cont95tal balli/ic missiles1 balli/ic missile subm>9es1 & heavy bomb] aircraft4 7#aa7 ,! b5efits1 risks1 & co/s ( rely+ on ! ,w-#gh w>head = ei!r ! ,m9uteman ,,iii or a new ,s5t9el missile z comp>$ to proce$+ ) ! ,w-#hg life ext5sion4 7#ab7 ,! b5efits1 risks1 & co/s ( add+ additional laun*]s on subm>9es or upload+ subm>9e-laun*$ balli/ic missiles ) additional w>heads to comp5sate = a r$uc$ deploym5t ( int]cont95tal balli/ic missiles ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates4 7d7 ,report requir$ 7#a7 ,submission to ,dep>tm5t ( ,def5se ,n lat] ?an #ahj days aft] ! date ( ! enactm5t ( ?is ,act1 ! ,national ,academy ( ,sci5ces %all submit to ! ,secret>y ( ,def5se a report conta9+ ! results ( ! /udy conduct$ "u subsection 7a74 7#b7 ,submission to ,congress ,n lat] ?an #baj days aft] ! date ( ! enactm5t ( ?is ,act1 ! ,secret>y %all transmit to ! appropriate congressional committees ! report requir$ by p>agraph 7#a71 )\t *ange4 7#c7 ,=m ,! report requir$ by p>agraph 7#a7 %all be submitt$ 9 unclassifi$ =m1 b may include a classifi$ annex4 7#d7 ,appropriate congressional committees def9$ ,9 ?is subsection1 ! t]m appropriate congressional committees means-- 7,a7 ! ,committee on ,arm$ ,s]vices1 ! ,committee on ,=eign ,relations1 & ! ,committee on ,appropriations ( ! ,s5ate2 & 7,b7 ! ,committee on ,arm$ ,s]vices1 ! ,committee on ,=eign ,affairs1 & ! ,committee on ,appropriations ( ! ,h\se ( ,repres5tatives4