,i #aag? ,,congress #b;d ,session ,h4 ,r4 #fdeb ,,9 ,,! ,,h\se ,,( ,,repres5tatives ,janu>y #bj1 #bjbb,mr4 ,kri%namoor?i introduc$ ! foll[+ bill2 :i* 0 ref]r$ to ! ,p]man5t ,select ,committee on ,intellig5ce ,a ,,bill ,to require ! ,director ( ,national ,intellig5ce to produce a ,national ,intellig5ce ,e/imate on escalation & de-escalation ( gray zone activities 9 great p[] competition1 & = o!r purposes4 #a4 ,%ort title ,?is ,act may be cit$ z ! ,ga!r+ & ,report+ ,assessm5ts ,yield+ ,z]o ,ov]look$ ,nef>i\s ,ef=ts ,act4 #b4 ,national ,intellig5ce ,e/imate on escalation & de-escalation ( gray zone activities 9 great p[] competition 7a7 ,f9d+s ,congress f9ds ! foll[+3 7#a7 ,! conv5tional p[] ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates has driv5 =eign adv]s>ies to a level ( competition t does n always dep5d on milit>y confrontation ) ! ,unit$ ,/ates4 7#b7 ,r ?an *all5g+ ! ,unit$ ,/ates 9 a mann] t c\ld provoke a k9etic milit>y response1 =eign adv]s>ies ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates h turn$ to c>ry+ out gray zone activities to advance ! int]e/s ( su* adv]s>ies1 weak5 ! p[] ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates1 & erode ! norms t und]p9 ! ,unit$ ,/ates-l$ int]national ord]4 7#c7 ,gray zone activity falls on a spectrum ( attribution & d5iability t ranges f cov]t adv]s>y op]ations1 to detectible cov]t adv]s>y op]ations1 to unattributable adv]s>y op]ations1 to d5iable adv]s>y op]ations1 to op5 adv]s>y op]ations4 7#d7 ,to adequately address su* a %ift to gray zone activity1 ! ,unit$ ,/ates mu/ und]/& :at actions t5d to ei!r escalate or de-escalate su* activity by our adv]s>ies4 7#e7 ,! laws1 pr9ciples1 & values ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates are /rategic advantages 9 great p[] competition ) au?orit>ian =eign adv]s>ies t c>ry out gray zone activities1 because su* laws1 pr9ciples1 & values increase ! appeal ( ! gov]nance model ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates1 & ! ,unit$ ,/ates-l$ int]national ord]1 to /ates & peoples ar\nd ! _w4 7#f7 ,! int]national security environm5t has demon/rat$ num]\s examples ( gray zone activities c>ri$ out by =eign adv]s>ies1 includ+ ! foll[+ activities ( =eign adv]s>ies3 7,a7 ,in=mation op]ations1 su* z ef=ts by ,russia to influ5ce ! #bjbj ,unit$ ,/ates ,f$]al elections 7z describ$ 9 ! ,m>* #ae1 #bjba1 intellig5ce community assessm5t ( ! ,(fice ( ! ,director ( ,national ,intellig5ce made publicly available on ,m>* #ae1 #bjba74 7,b7 ,adv]s>y political co]cion op]ations1 su* z ! wield+ ( en]gy by ,russia1 p>ticul>ly 9 ! context ( ,ukra9ian gas pipel9es1 to co]ce its neighbors into compliance ) its policies4 7,c7 ,cyb] op]ations1 su* z ! use by ,*9a ( cyb] tools to conduct indu/rial espionage4 7,d7 ,provision ( support to proxy =ces1 su* z ! support provid$ by ,iran to ,hezbollah & ,%ia militia gr\ps4 7,e7 ,provocation by arm$ =ces controll$ by ! gov]nm5t ( ! =eign adv]s>y ?r\gh measures t d n rise to ! level ( an arm$ attack1 su* z ! use ( ! ,*9a ,coa/ ,gu>d & m>itime militia by ,*9a to h>ass ! fi%+ vessels ( o!r c\ntries 9 ! ,s\? ,*9a ,sea4 7,f7 ,alleg$ uses ( le?al =ce on =eign soil1 su* z ! #bjah attempts by ,russia to poison ,s]gei ,skripal 9 ,london4 7,g7 ,! pot5tial use by an adv]s>y ( te*nology t causes anomal\s heal? incid5ts among ,unit$ ,/ates ,gov]nm5t p]sonnel4 7b7 ,national ,intellig5ce ,e/imate 7#a7 ,requirem5t ,! ,director ( ,national ,intellig5ce1 act+ ?r\gh ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,c\ncil1 %all produce a ,national ,intellig5ce ,e/imate on h[ =eign adv]s>ies use gray zone activities to advance int]e/s1 :at responses by ! ,unit$ ,/ates 7or ! allies or p>tn]s ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates7 w\ld t5d to result 9 ! escalation or de-escalation ( su* gray zone activities by =eign adv]s>ies1 & any opportunities = ! ,unit$ ,/ates to m9imize ! ext5t to :i* =eign adv]s>ies use gray zone activities 9 fur!rance ( great p[] competition4 7#b7 ,matt]s includ$ ,to ! ext5t det]m9$ appropriate by ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,c\ncil1 ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,e/imate produc$ "u p>agraph 7#a7 may include an assessm5t ( ! foll[+ topics3 7,a7 ,any pot5tial or actual le?al or h>mful gray zone activities c>ri$ out aga9/ ! ,unit$ ,/ates by =eign adv]s>ies1 includ+ aga9/ ,unit$ ,/ates ,gov]nm5t employees & ,unit$ ,/ates p]sons1 :e!r locat$ )9 or outside ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates4 7,b7 ,to ! ext5t su* activities h occurr$1 or are pr$ict$ to occur-- 7i7 opportunities to r$uce or det] any su* activities2 & 7ii7 any actions ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates ,gov]nm5t t w\ld t5d to result 9 ! escalation or de-escalation ( su* activities4 7,c7 ,any incid5ts 9 :i* =eign adv]s>ies c\ld h us$1 b ultimately did n use1 gray zone activities to advance ! int]e/s ( su* adv]s>ies1 includ+ an assessm5t z to :y ! =eign adv]s>y ultimately did n use gray zone activities4 7,d7 ,! effect ( l[]+ ! ,unit$ ,/ates ,gov]nm5t ?re%old = ! public attribution ( detectible cov]t adv]s>y op]ations1 unattributable adv]s>y op]ations1 & d5iable adv]s>y op]ations4 7,e7 ,! effect ( l[]+ ! ,unit$ ,/ates ,gov]nm5t ?re%old = respond+ to detectible cov]t adv]s>y op]ations1 unattributable adv]s>y op]ations1 & d5iable adv]s>y op]ations4 7,f7 ,! ext5t to :i* ! gov]nm5ts ( =eign adv]s>ies ex]cise control ov] any proxies or p>a/ate actors us$ by su* gov]nm5ts 9 c>ry+ out gray zone activities4 7,g7 ,! ext5t to :i* gray zone activities c>ri$ out by =eign adv]s>ies affect ! private sector ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates4 7,h7 ,! int]national norms t provide ! greate/ det]r5ce to gray zone activities c>ri$ out by =eign adv]s>ies1 & opportunities = /r5g!n+ ^? norms4 7,i7 ,! effect1 if any1 ( ! /r5g!n+ ( democratic gov]nance abroad on ! resili5ce ( ,unit$ ,/ates allies & p>tn]s to gray zone activities4 7,j7 ,opportunities to /r5g!n ! resili5ce ( ,unit$ ,/ates allies & p>tn]s to gray zone activities1 & associat$ tactics1 c>ri$ out by =eign adv]s>ies4 7,k7 ,opportunities = ! ,unit$ ,/ates to improve ! detection (1 & e>ly w>n+ =1 su* activities & tactics4 7,l7 ,opportunities = ! ,unit$ ,/ates to galvanize int]national support 9 respond+ to su* activities & tactics4 7#c7 ,submission to ,congress 7,a7 ,submission ,n lat] ?an #a ye> aft] ! date ( ! enactm5t ( ?is ,act1 ! ,director %all submit to ! ,select ,committee on ,intellig5ce ( ! ,s5ate & ! ,p]man5t ,select ,committee on ,intellig5ce ( ! ,h\se ( ,repres5tatives ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,e/imate produc$ "u p>agraph 7#a71 includ+ all intellig5ce report+ und]ly+ ! ,e/imate4 7,b7 ,notice reg>d+ submission ,if at any "t be=e ! deadl9e specifi$ 9 subp>agraph 7,a71 ! ,director det]m9es t ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,e/imate produc$ "u p>agraph 7#a7 _c be submitt$ by su* deadl9e1 ! ,director %all 7be=e su* deadl9e7 submit to ! ,select ,committee on ,intellig5ce ( ! ,s5ate & ! ,p]man5t ,select ,committee on ,intellig5ce ( ! ,h\se ( ,repres5tatives a report sett+ =? ! reasons :y ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,e/imate _c be submitt$ by su* deadl9e & an e/imat$ date = ! submission ( ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,e/imate4 7,c7 ,=m ,any report "u subp>agraph 7,b7 %all be submitt$ 9 unclassifi$ =m4 7#d7 ,public v]sion ,consi/5t ) ! protection ( intellig5ce s\rces & me?ods1 at ! same "t z ! ,director submits to ! ,select ,committee on ,intellig5ce ( ! ,s5ate & ! ,p]man5t ,select ,committee on ,intellig5ce ( ! ,h\se ( ,repres5tatives ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,e/imate "u p>agraph 7#a71 ! ,director %all make publicly available on ! int]net website ( ! ,director an unclassifi$ v]sion ( ! key f9d+s ( ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,e/imate4 7#e7 ,def9itions ,9 ?is subsection3 7,a7 ,gray zone activity ,! t]m gray zone activity means an activity to advance ! national int]e/s ( a ,/ate t-- 7i7 falls betwe5 ord9>y /atecraft & op5 w>f>e2 7ii7 is c>ri$ out ) an int5t to maximize ! advancem5t ( int]e/s ( ! /ate )\t provok+ a k9etic milit>y response by ! ,unit$ ,/ates2 & 7iii7 falls on a spectrum t ranges f cov]t adv]s>y op]ations1 to detectible cov]t adv]s>y op]ations1 to unattributable adv]s>y op]ations1 to d5iable adv]s>y op]ations1 to op5 adv]s>y op]ations4 7,b7 ,cov]t adv]s>y op]ation ,! t]m cov]t adv]s>y op]ation means an op]ation by an adv]s>y t-- 7i7 ! adv]s>y int5ds to rema9 bel[ ! ?re%old at :i* ! ,unit$ ,/ates detects ! op]ation2 & 7ii7 does /ay bel[ su* ?re%old4 7,c7 ,detectible cov]t adv]s>y op]ation ,! t]m detectible cov]t adv]s>y op]ation means an op]ation by an adv]s>y t-- 7i7 ! adv]s>y int5ds to rema9 bel[ ! ?re%old at :i* ! ,unit$ ,/ates detects ! op]ation2 b 7ii7 is ultimately detect$ by ! ,unit$ ,/ates at a level bel[ ! level at :i* ! ,unit$ ,/ates w publicly attribute ! op]ation to ! adv]s>y4 7,d7 ,unattributable adv]s>y op]ation ,! t]m unattributable adv]s>y op]ation means an op]ation by an adv]s>y t ! adv]s>y int5ds to be detect$ by ! ,unit$ ,/ates1 b rema9 bel[ ! ?re%old at :i* ! ,unit$ ,/ates w publicly attribute ! op]ation to ! adv]s>y4 7,e7 ,d5iable adv]s>y op]ation ,! t]m d5iable adv]s>y op]ation means an op]ation by an adv]s>y t-- 7i7 ! adv]s>y int5ds to be detect$ & publicly or privately attribut$ by ! ,unit$ ,/ates2 & 7ii7 ! adv]s>y int5ds to d5y1 to limit ! response by ! ,unit$ ,/ates1 & any allies ( ! ,unit$ ,/ates4 7,f7 ,op5 adv]s>y op]ation ,! t]m op5 adv]s>y op]ation means an op]ation by an adv]s>y t ! adv]s>y op5ly ackn[l$ges z attributable to ! adv]s>y4 7c7 ,requirem5t ,to develop lexicon 7#a7 ,requirem5t ,! ,director ( ,national ,intellig5ce1 act+ ?r\gh ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,c\ncil1 %all develop a lexicon ( common t]ms 7& correspond+ def9itions = su* t]ms7 = concepts associat$ ) gray zone activities4 7#b7 ,consid]ations ,9 develop+ ! lexicon "u p>agraph 7#a71 ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,c\ncil %all include 9 ! lexicon ea* t]m 7& ! correspond+ def9ition = ea* t]m7 specifi$ 9 subsection 7b77#e71 unless ! ,national ,intellig5ce ,c\ncil det]m9es t an alt]native t]m 7or alt]native def9ition7-- 7,a7 m accurately describes a concept associat$ ) gray zone activities2 or 7,b7 is pref]able = any o!r reason4 7#c7 ,report 7,a7 ,publication ,! ,director ( ,national ,intellig5ce %all publi% a report conta9+ ! lexicon develop$ "u p>agraph 7#a74 7,b7 ,=m ,! report "u subp>agraph 7,a7 %all be publi%$ 9 unclassifi$ =m4