,,ii #aafth ,,congress #ast ,session ,s4 #abhe ,,in ,,the ,,senate ,,of ,,the ,,united ,,states ,may #b1 #bjai,mr4 ,markey 7for himself1 ,mrs4 ,gillibrand1 ,ms4 ,warren1 ,mr4 ,leahy1 and ,mr4 ,brown7 introduced the following bill2 which was read twice and referred to the ,committee on ,foreign ,relations ,a ,,bill ,to require certifications and reporting in an unclassified form related to the national security implications of the ,new ,,start ,treaty1 to provide for arms limitations in the event of the treaty's non-renewal1 and for other purposes4 #a4 ,short title ,this ,act may be cited as the ,save ,arms control and ,verification ,efforts ,act of #bjai or ,,save ,act4 #b4 ,findings ,congress makes the following findings3 7#a7 ,every ,united ,states president since ,john ,f4 ,kennedy has successfully concluded at least one agreement with ,russia to reduce nuclear dangers4 7#b7 ,if the ,intermediate ,range ,nuclear ,forces ,treaty is terminated1 and the ,new ,,start ,treaty is not extended1 or a new treaty is not negotiated and ratified before #bjba1 there would be no legally binding1 verifiable limits on the ,united ,states or ,russian nuclear arsenals for the first time since #aigb4 7#c7 ,for both the ,united ,states and the ,russian ,federation1 the ,new ,,start ,treaty's transparency and verification measures provide invaluable insight into the size1 capabilities1 and operations of both countries' nuclear forces beyond that provided by more traditional intelligence collection and assessment methods1 helping create a mutually beneficial environment of stability and predictability4 7#d7 ,former ,republican and ,democratic national security leaders1 including ,george ,shultz1 ,william ,perry1 ,richard ,burt1 ,sam ,nunn1 ,richard ,lugar1 and others1 have expressed support for a prompt decision to extend the ,new ,,start ,treaty4 7#e7 ,united ,states military leaders continue to see value in the ,new ,,start ,treaty1 including ,gen4 ,john ,hyten1 ,commander of ,united ,states ,strategic ,command1 who told ,congress in ,march #bjah that bilateral1 verifiable arms control agreements are essential to our ability to provide an effective deterrent1 and testified before ,congress in ,february #bjai that the ,new ,,start ,treaty is important because it provides to the ,united ,states a cap on ,russia's strategic baseline nuclear weapons1 and their ballistic missiles1 both submarine and ,,icbm1 as well as their bombers and just as important it gives me insight through the verification regime to their ,russia's real capabilities4 7#f7 ,the ,united ,states ,,nato allies have consistently expressed support for a decision by the ,united ,states and the ,russian ,federation to extend ,new ,,start before the scheduled expiration date in #bjba4 7#g7 ,russian ,president ,vladimir ,putin said in ,july #bjah that ,i reassured ,president ,trump that ,russia stands ready to extend this treaty1 to prolong it1 but we have to agree on the specifics '''4 7#h7 ,the ,department of ,defense ,report on the ,strategic ,nuclear ,forces of the ,russian ,federation submitted pursuant to section #abdj of the ,national ,defense ,authorization ,act for ,fiscal ,year #bjab 7,public ,law #aab-ha2 #abe ,stat4 #afdc7 determined that ,russia would not be able to achieve a militarily significant advantage by any plausible expansion of its strategic nuclear forces1 even in a cheating or breakout scenario under the ,new ,,start ,treaty1 primarily because of the inherent survivability of the planned ,united ,states strategic force structure1 particularly the ,ohio-class ballistic missile submarines1 a number of which are at sea at any given time4 7#i7 ,for as long as it must exist1 the ,united ,states nuclear arsenal must be maintained and modernized in a cost-effective manner to ensure it remains a safe1 secure1 and reliable effective nuclear force that can continue to deter nuclear attack on the ,united ,states and its allies1 and so that the ,united ,states can continue to pursue further verifiable reduction in global nuclear stockpiles consistent with its obligations under the ,nuclear ,nonproliferation ,treaty4 7#aj7 ,the ,new ,,start ,treaty created a ,bilateral ,consultative ,commission to resolve issues related to implementation of the ,new ,,start ,treaty1 and ,article ,,ii of the ,new ,,start ,treaty states1 ,when a ,party believes that a new kind of strategic offensive arm is emerging1 that ,party shall have the right to raise the question of such a strategic offensive arm for consideration in the ,bilateral ,consultative ,commission4 #c4 ,sense of the ,senate ,it is the sense of the ,senate that-- 7#a7 extending the ,new ,,start ,treaty by a period of five years is in the national security interest of the ,united ,states1 so long as the ,russian ,federation continues to meet the central limits of the treaty2 7#b7 the ,united ,states should immediately seek to begin discussions with the ,russian ,federation on agreeing to a #e-year extension of the ,new ,,start ,treaty2 7#c7 the ,united ,states should use the ,bilateral ,consultative ,commission mechanism within the ,new ,,start ,treaty to address issues related to new ,russian strategic nuclear weapons it believes may fall under ,new ,,start treaty limits2 7#d7 extending the ,new ,,start ,treaty would facilitate efforts by the ,united ,states to pursue additional arms control efforts with the ,russian ,federation1 including efforts to address the ,russian ,federation's nonstrategic nuclear weapons and emerging technologies such as hypersonic weapons2 7#e7 the ,united ,states should resume more regular talks on strategic stability with ,russia1 as well as additional bilateral and multilateral arms control efforts worldwide to address a changing global security environment2 and 7#f7 extending the ,new ,,start ,treaty would facilitate efforts by the ,united ,states to engage with the ,people's ,republic of ,china to reduce dangers associated with its nuclear arsenal1 which is fundamentally different than the ,russian ,federation's and requires a separate1 focused arms control effort4 #d4 ,certifications in event ,new ,,start ,treaty is not extended ,not later than #ij days after the date of the enactment of this ,act1 and every #ahj days thereafter1 if the parties to the ,new ,,start ,treaty have not completed the procedures outlined in the treaty and its related protocols and annexes to extend the treaty's effective date by up to five years beyond ,february #e1 #bjba-- 7#a7 the ,president1 the ,secretary of ,defense1 and the ,secretary of ,state shall separately submit to the appropriate congressional committees a justification for why ,new ,,start has not been extended and a certification that the absence of an extension of the treaty is in the national security interest of the ,united ,states2 and 7#b7 the ,director of ,national ,intelligence shall submit to the appropriate congressional committees-- 7,a7 an intelligence community-coordinated assessment of why the ,new ,,start ,treaty has not been extended2 7,b7 a certification that the absence of an extension of the treaty is in the national security interest of the ,united ,states2 and 7,c7 7i7 a certification that the ,united ,states is not losing intelligence insight into the ,russian ,federation's strategic nuclear program2 or 7ii7 a report detailing how the ,director of ,national ,intelligence and the intelligence community will account for any lost intelligence capabilities4 #e4 ,national ,intelligence ,estimate 7a7 ,in general ,not later than #ahj days after the date of the enactment of this ,act1 the ,director of ,national ,intelligence shall submit to the appropriate congressional committees a ,national ,intelligence ,estimate1 consisting of an unclassified executive summary and judgments and a more detailed1 classified report on the ,russian ,federation's compliance with the ,new ,,start ,treaty and the impact to the intelligence collection capabilities of the ,united ,states if the ,new ,,start ,treaty and its related information exchanges and associated inspections regimes were to lapse4 ,the report shall include the following elements3 7#a7 ,a description of the ,russian ,federation's compliance with the ,new ,,start ,treaty4 7#b7 ,an assessment of the ,russian ,federation's intentions with regard to extending the ,new ,,start ,treaty4 7#c7 ,a description of the intelligence collection benefits gained as a result of the ratification and implementation of the ,new ,,start ,treaty4 7#d7 ,an assessment of what specific capabilities the ,united ,states intelligence community would have to develop and deploy to ensure that no loss of collection capability would occur in the event of the lapse of the ,new ,,start ,treaty4 7#e7 ,a cost estimate and estimated timeline for developing these new or additional capabilities1 and a description of how new intelligence gathering requirements related to the ,russian ,federation's nuclear forces may affect other ,united ,states intelligence gathering needs4 7#f7 ,an assessment of projections for ,russian ,federation nuclear and non-nuclear force size1 structure1 and composition with the ,new ,,start ,treaty limitations in place and without the limitations in place4 7#g7 ,an assessment of ,russian ,federation actions1 intentions1 and likely responses to the ,united ,states withdrawing from1 suspending its obligations under1 or allowing to lapse the ,new ,,start ,treaty and subsequently developing platforms and weapons beyond the ,new ,,start ,treaty's limitations4 7b7 ,briefings ,the ,director of ,national ,intelligence shall brief the appropriate congressional committees on the elements set forth in subsection 7a7 when the ,national ,intelligence ,estimate is submitted under such subsection and every #abj days thereafter4 #f4 ,reporting requirements 7a7 ,department of ,defense 7#a7 ,report on expected force structure changes in event of treaty lapse ,not later than #ij days after the date of the enactment of this ,act1 and not later than ,february #e1 #bjba1 if the ,new ,,start ,treaty is allowed to lapse1 the ,secretary of ,defense shall submit to the appropriate congressional committees a report discussing changes to the expected force structure of the ,united ,states ,armed ,forces if the ,new ,,start ,treaty is no longer in place and estimating the expected costs necessary to make such changes4 7#b7 ,report on impacts to modernization plan ,not later than #ij days after the date of the enactment of this ,act1 and not later than ,february #e1 #bjba1 if the ,new ,,start ,treaty is allowed to lapse1 the ,secretary of ,defense and the ,secretary of ,energy shall jointly submit to the appropriate congressional committees a report on how the current program of record to replace and upgrade ,united ,states nuclear weapons delivery systems and warheads1 which anticipates the continued existence of the ,new ,,start ,treaty1 would be modified without the existence of the ,new ,,start ,treaty4 ,the report shall include the information required to be submitted in the report required by section #ajdc of the ,national ,defense ,authorization ,act for ,fiscal ,year #bjab 7,public ,law #aab-ha2 #abe ,stat4 #aegf7 and shall include-- 7,a7 a separate #aj-year cost estimate from the ,department of ,defense to implement a nuclear sustainment plan that does and does not anticipate the continued existence of the ,new ,,start ,treaty1 including possible costs associated with conversion or uploading of strategic delivery vehicles and warheads2 7,b7 a separate #aj-year cost estimate from the ,department of ,energy to implement a nuclear sustainment and modernization plan that does and does not anticipate the continued existence of the ,new ,,start ,treaty1 including uploading warheads previously withdrawn from service2 7,c7 a description of how the absence of the ,new ,,start ,treaty limits would impact the schedule and cost of ,department of ,energy's ,stockpile ,stewardship management plan2 and 7,d7 an assessment of the potential impacts on how these changes will impact the ,department of ,energy's nuclear weapons complex4 7b7 ,department of ,state ,not later than #ij days after the date of the enactment of this ,act1 and not later than ,february #e1 #bjba1 if the ,new ,,start ,treaty is allowed to lapse1 the ,secretary of ,state shall submit to the appropriate congressional committees a report on the likely foreign policy implications of and potential impacts to ,united ,states diplomatic relations if the ,new ,,start ,treaty lapses4 ,the report shall include the following elements3 7#a7 ,an assessment of the likely reactions of the ,north ,atlantic ,treaty ,organization 7,,nato7 and ,,nato member countries1 ,united ,states allies1 ,asia1 and each permanent member of the ,united ,nations ,security ,council4 7#b7 ,a description of the expected impacts on the ,nuclear ,nonproliferation ,treaty and the ability of the ,united ,states to key nonproliferation objectives4 7#c7 ,a description of the risks posed to the long-term health of the ,nuclear ,nonproliferation ,treaty in the absence of ,united ,states-,russia bilateral nuclear arms control agreements and dialogue4 7c7 ,presidential report on strategic arms control strategy ,not later than ,february #e1 #bjbj1 the ,president shall submit to the appropriate congressional committees a report including-- 7#a7 a #e-year strategy for future strategic arms control agreements with the ,russian ,federation2 7#b7 an update on the status of any current discussions that may be in progress at time of report2 and 7#c7 a description of other ,united ,states bilateral and multilateral arms control efforts globally4 #g4 ,prohibition on increases in certain warheads1 missiles1 and launchers 7a7 ,prohibition 7#a7 ,in general ,if either of the conditions in paragraph 7#b7 occurs1 the ,united ,states ,government may not1 except as provided under subsection 7b71 obligate or expend any funds to-- 7,a7 increase above #a1eej the number of ,united ,states warheads operationally deployed on launchers for ,i,c,b,ms1 ,s,l,b,ms1 and heavy bombers2 7,b7 increase above #gjj the number of deployed ,intercontinental ,ballistic ,missiles 7,i,c,b,ms71 ,submarine-,launched ,ballistic ,missiles 7,s,l,b,ms71 and heavy bombers2 or 7,c7 increase above #hjj the number of deployed and non-deployed ,,icbm launchers1 ,,slbm launchers1 and heavy bombers1 as such terms are defined and such systems are counted in the ,new ,,start ,treaty4 7#b7 ,conditions ,the conditions referred to in paragraph 7#a7 are as follows3 7,a7 ,the ,president initiates ,united ,states withdrawal from the ,new ,,start ,treaty in accordance with the procedures outlined in the ,new ,,start ,treaty and its related protocols and annexes4 7,b7 ,as of ,february #e1 #bjba1 the parties to the ,new ,,start ,treaty have not completed the procedures outlined in the ,new ,,start ,treaty and its related protocols and annexes to extend the ,treaty's effective date to ,february #e1 #bjbf4 7,c7 ,the ,president takes one or more actions to suspend ,united ,states obligations outlined in the ,new ,,start ,treaty and its related protocols and annexes4 7b7 ,exceptions ,the prohibition under subsection 7a7 shall not be in effect if all of the following conditions are met3 7#a7 ,the ,president1 the ,secretary of ,state1 the ,secretary of ,defense1 the ,secretary of ,energy1 and the ,director of ,national ,intelligence jointly certify that the ,russian ,federation is1 in a way that is militarily significant-- 7,a7 increasing above #a1eej the number of the ,russian ,federation's strategic warheads operationally deployed on launchers for ,intercontinental ,ballistic ,missiles 7,i,c,b,ms71 ,submarine-,launched ,ballistic ,missiles 7,s,l,b,ms71 and heavy bombers2 7,b7 increasing above #gjj the number of deployed ,i,c,b,ms1 ,s,l,b,ms1 and heavy bombers2 or 7,c7 increasing above #hjj the number of deployed and non-deployed ,,icbm launchers1 ,,slbm launchers1 and heavy bombers1 as such terms are defined and such systems are counted in the ,new ,,start ,treaty and its related protocols and annexes4 7#b7 ,the ,president1 the ,director of ,national ,intelligence1 the ,secretary of ,state1 the ,secretary of ,energy1 and the ,secretary of ,defense certify that it is in the national security interest of the ,united ,states to exceed prohibition limits4 7#c7 ,the ,secretary of ,defense and the ,secretary of ,energy submit to the appropriate congressional committees a report with #aj-year cost projections related to increasing the number of ,united ,states nuclear warheads1 delivery vehicles1 and systems as covered by the ,new ,,start ,treaty and its related protocols and annexes4 7#d7 ,the ,director of ,national ,intelligence submits to the appropriate congressional committees a ,national ,intelligence ,estimate of ,russian actions1 intentions1 and likely responses to the ,united ,states exceeding these specified caps4 7#e7 ,the ,secretary of ,state1 the ,secretary of ,defense1 the ,secretary of ,energy1 and the ,director of ,national ,intelligence provide briefings to the appropriate congressional committees about the certifications and reports submitted under paragraphs 7#a7 though 7#d74 7#f7 ,there is not enacted1 within #fj days after each of the conditions in paragraphs 7#a7 through 7#e7 having been met1 a joint resolution of disapproval that continues the prohibition on funding levels under subsection 7a74 7c7 ,sunset ,the prohibition under subsection 7a7 shall expire on ,february #e1 #bjbf4 #h4 ,form of reports and certifications ,if any report or certification required under this ,act is submitted in classified form1 an unclassified version shall also be submitted at the same time4 #i4 ,definitions ,in this ,act3 7#a7 ,appropriate congressional committees defined ,the term appropriate congressional committees means all members of-- 7,a7 the ,committee on ,foreign ,relations1 the ,committee on ,armed ,services1 the ,select ,committee on ,intelligence1 and the ,committee on ,appropriations of the ,senate2 and 7,b7 the ,committee on ,foreign ,affairs1 the ,committee on ,armed ,services1 the ,permanent ,select ,committee on ,intelligence1 and the ,committee on ,appropriations of the ,house of ,representatives4 7#b7 ,intermediate ,range ,nuclear ,forces ,treaty ,the term ,intermediate ,range ,nuclear ,forces ,treaty means the ,treaty between the ,united ,states of ,america and the ,union of ,soviet ,socialist ,republics on the ,elimination of ,their ,intermediate-,range and ,shorter-,range ,missiles1 together with the ,memorandum of ,understanding and ,two ,protocols1 signed at ,washington ,december #h1 #aihg1 and entered into force ,june #a1 #aihh4 7#c7 ,new ,,start ,treaty ,the term ,new ,,start ,treaty means the ,treaty between the ,united ,states of ,america and the ,russian ,federation on ,measures for the ,further ,reduction and ,limitation of ,strategic ,offensive ,arms1 signed ,april #h1 #bjaj1 and entered into force ,february #e1 #bjaa4 7#d7 ,nuclear ,nonproliferation ,treaty ,the term ,nuclear ,nonproliferation ,treaty means the ,treaty on the ,non-,proliferation of ,nuclear ,weapons1 signed at ,washington ,july #a1 #aifh 7commonly known as the ,,npt74