domain material from the ,google ,print project47 ,,the ,,shepherd ,,of ,,banbury',s ,,rules ,to judge of the ,,changes of the ,,weather1 ,grounded on ,forty ,years' ,,experience2 ,by which you may know ,the ,,weather for several ,days to come1 and in some ,cases for ,months4 ,to which is added ,a ,rational ,,account of the ,,causes of such ,alterations1 the ,nature of ,wind1 ,rain1 ,snow1 c4 ,by ,,john ,,claridge1 ,shepherd4 ,a ,,new ,,edition1 ,corrected4 ,l ,o ,n ,d ,o ,n3 ,printed for ,,thomas ,,hurst1 ,,edward ,,chance1 ,co41 #fe1 ,st4 ,paul's ,church-,yard4 #ahbg4 ,j4 ,m',creery1 ,tooks ,court1 ,chancery ,lane1 ,london4 ,,introduction4 ,,as we very justly esteem it a fit ,tribute of ,admiration to adorn natural ,curiosities1 by setting them as richly and as advantageously as art can direct1 so the following ,observations of the ,shepherd of ,banbury have appeared to me worthy of being presented to the ,eye of the ,public1 with all the ,lustre that it was in my ,power to give them4 ,it is one thing to observe1 and another to reason upon ,observations1 and it very rarely happens that both can be taken into the ,compass of one ,man's ,life4 ,we ought therefore to consider it as a very lucky ,incident1 when the ,observations of another ,man1 upon whom we can depend1 fall into our ,hands1 and enable us to add natural ,experience to the ,notions derived to us from ,books of ,philosophy4 ,,there is a ,degree of ,pedantry in ,desarts as well as ,colleges4 ,men who derive their ,knowledge entirely from ,experience are apt to despise what they call ,book ,learning1 and ,men of great ,reading are as apt to fall into a less excusable mistake1 that of taking the ,knowledge of ,words for the ,knowledge of ,things2 whereas there are not any two points more opposite in ,nature1 since we very rarely see1 that either true ,scholars are talkative1 or that talkative ,men are true ,scholars4 ,,the ,shepherd1 whose sole ,business it is to observe what has a ,reference to the ,flock under his ,care1 who spends all his ,days and many of his ,nights in the open ,air1 and under the wide spread ,canopy of ,heaven1 is in a ,manner obliged to take particular ,notice of the ,alterations of the ,weather1 and when once he comes to take a ,pleasure in making such ,observations1 it is amazing how great a ,progress he makes in them1 and to how great a ,certainty at last he arrives by mere dint of comparing ,signs and ,events1 and correcting one ,remark by another4 ,every thing in ,time becomes to him a ,sort of ,weather-,gage4 ,the ,sun1 the ,moon1 the ,stars1 the ,clouds1 the ,winds1 the ,mists1 the ,trees1 the ,flowers1 the ,herbs1 and almost every ,animal with which he is acquainted4 ,all these ,i say become to such a person ,instruments of real ,knowledge4 ,,there are a ,sort of half wise ,people1 who from the ,consideration of the ,distances of ,things1 are apt to treat such ,prognostications1 as they phrase them1 with much ,contempt4 ,they can see no ,connexion between a ,cat's washing her ,face1 and the ,sky's being overspread with ,clouds1 and therefore they boldly pronounce that the one has no ,relation to the other4 ,yet the same ,people will readily own that the fluttering of the ,flame of a ,candle is a certain token of ,wind1 which however is not discernible by their ,feeling2 because it lies within the ,compass of their ,understanding to discern that this ,fluctuation of the ,flame is caused by the ,wind acting upon it1 and therefore they are inclined to believe this1 though it does not fall actually under the ,cognizance of their ,senses4 ,but a ,man of a larger ,compass of ,knowledge1 who is acquainted with the ,nature and ,qualities of the ,air1 and knows what an ,effect any ,alterations in the ,weight1 the ,dryness1 or the ,humidity of it has upon all animal ,bodies1 easily perceives the ,reason why other ,animals are much sooner sensible of any ,alterations that happen in that ,element than ,men1 and therefore to him the cawing of ,ravens1 the chattering of ,swallows1 and a ,cat's washing her ,face are not superstitious ,signs1 but natural tokens 7like that of the ,candle's fluttering7 of a ,change of ,weather1 and as such they have been thought worthy of ,notice by ,aristotle1 ,virgil1 ,pliny1 and all the wisest and gravest ,writers of ,antiquity4 ,,but still a few slight and trivial ,observations of this ,kind1 and such as are in the ,power of every ,man to make1 go but a very little ,way in furnishing us with a useful ,knowledge of the ,indications of the ,weather4 ,to supply these1 and to have constantly at ,hand the ,means of judging of these ,alterations1 ,men of great ,genius have invented1 and wonderful ,inventions they are6 ,instruments for measuring the ,heat1 the ,cold1 the ,weight1 the ,dryness1 and the ,humidity of the ,air1 with great ,exactness1 and upon these they reason as to the changes of ,weather with great ,accuracy and ,certainty4 ,it would undoubtedly be a great ,folly to pretend to question either the ,truth of their ,observations1 or the ,usefulness of them3 but then we may have leave to consider how far1 and to how great a ,degree they are useful4 ,the ,thermometer measures exactly the ,degrees of ,heat1 but the ,air must be hot to such or such a ,degree before it is discerned by this ,instrument4 ,the barometer indicates the ,weight of the ,air1 and the rising and falling of the ,quicksilver expresses the ,alterations in its ,weight with wonderful ,nicety1 but then those ,alterations are the ,cause of this4 ,in like manner the ,hygrometer1 or ,hygroscope1 measures the ,dryness or the ,humidity of the ,air very plainly and very exactly1 but the ,weather must alter1 must become dryer or moister than it was1 before these ,alterations are visible2 and therefore1 however ingenious1 however curious1 however useful these ,instruments may be in other ,respects1 they undoubtedly contribute very little to the prognosticating a ,change of ,weather at a ,distance2 and it is from the ,experience of this1 that they are so little esteemed1 so lightly regarded by the common ,people4 ,,our ,shepherd's ,observations are of quite another ,nature1 most of them give us a ,day's ,notice1 many a ,week's1 and some extend to several ,months' ,prognostication of the ,changes of the ,weather1 and of how great ,use these may be to all ,ranks and ,degrees of ,people1 to the sedentary ,valetudinarian1 as well as the active ,traveller1 to the ,sportsman who pursues his ,game1 as well as to the industrious ,husbandman who constantly follows his ,labour2 in short1 to every ,man in every ,situation in some ,degree or other1 is so very clear and intelligible1 that it would1 be a mere waste of ,words1 and a very idle display of ,rhetoric1 to attempt the making it clearer4 ,every ,man living would be glad to foresee the ,alterations of ,weather if he could1 and consequently to most ,people1 if not to all1 these ,observations1 grounded on no less than forty ,years' ,experience1 cannot but be acceptable4 ,,to make the best use of one's ,talent1 and to employ the ,lights derived from the ,station in which ,providence has placed one for the ,benefit of ,mankind1 is undoubtedly discharging one's ,duty1 answering the ,end of our ,creation1 and corresponding with the ,o,economy of ,nature1 which does nothing in vain4 ,this ,proposition is equally true1 let a ,man's ,station be what it will4 ,it is the ,manner in which we perform1 and not the ,character1 that makes the ,player1 and in this ,sense what ,man is not a ,player8 ,here then is an ,instance of one who has for many ,years studied his ,part1 and now communicates his ,discoveries freely4 ,in a ,physician1 in a ,philosopher1 in a ,mathematician1 this would be highly commendable1 and why not in a ,shepherd8 ,we do not cast our own ,parts in the ,drama of ,life2 no1 this is performed by the great ,author of ,nature4 ,he who adjusted every ,thing on ,earth with such ,beauty and ,harmony1 he who taught the ,heavenly ,bodies to move2 the same distributed their several ,offices to ,men4 ,may we not therefore suppose that every ,man's ,part is well cast1 and that our ,abilities are exactly proportioned to our ,stations8 ,if so1 he who does all he can1 does all that ought to be expected from him1 and merits from impartial ,judges the most general and just ,applause4 ,to be convinced of this1 we need not only reflect on the narrow and selfish ,conduct of some1 who either by ,study or by ,chance1 have acquired certain valuable ,secrets1 which with the utmost ,industry they conceal in order to be the more admired1 or that they may render them beneficial to themselves4 ,how contrary the ,conduct of our ,shepherd6 ,his ,pains were all his own1 but the ,fruit of them he thus generously offers to the ,public4 ,good ,sense and the dictates of ,nature taught him this ,maxim1 ,that what might benefit many1 should not be concealed by one from ,views of ,profit or of ,pride4 ,,in my ,remarks upon the ,shepherd's ,rules1 ,i have sometimes endeavoured to support them by ,authorities1 which ,i must confess would have been of little ,use if the ,author had been a ,person of ,learning2 but when it is considered that these ,observations were purely the ,effect of his own ,attention and ,experience1 it certainly strengthens them1 and adds greatly to their ,credit that they have been esteemed evident ,signs of the same ,effects1 by the greatest ,masters in this ,kind of ,science4 ,the ,art of prognosticating the ,weather may be considered as a ,kind of decyphering1 and in that ,art it is always allowed a point of great ,consequence1 when several ,masters therein agree as to the meaning of a ,character1 and it is from thence very justly presumed that this ,character is rightly decyphered4 ,i have also endeavoured to explain most of his ,observations1 according to the ,rules of the new ,philosophy1 which1 as it is grounded upon4 ,experiments1 so it generally speaking enables us to give a fair and rational ,account of almost all the ,phnomena taken notice of by the ,shepherd of ,banbury4 ,i likewise have added some other ,rules in ,relation to the ,weather1 taken from the common sayings of our ,country ,people1 and from old ,english ,books of ,husbandry1 but ,i have distinguished all these from the ,observations themselves1 so that the ,reader will have no ,trouble to discern the ,text from the ,commentary1 or to know what belongs to the ,shepherd of ,banbury1 and what to the ,editor of his ,observations4 ,this ,i think may serve by the ,way of ,introduction1 let us now proceed to the ,rules themselves4 ,,the ,country ,calendar1 ,,or ,,the ,,shepherd ,,of ,,banbury's ,,observations4 ,i4 ,,sun4 ,if the ,sun rise red and firey4 ,wind and ,rain4 ,,the ,reason of this ,appearance is1 because the ,sun shines through a large ,mass of ,vapours1 which occasions that red ,colour that has been always esteemed a ,sign of ,rain1 especially if the ,face of the ,sun appear bigger than it ought1 for then in a few ,hours the ,clouds will grow black1 and be condensed into ,rain1 sudden and sharp1 if in the ,summer1 but settled and moderate if in ,winter4 ,,the old ,english ,rule published in our first ,almanacks agrees exactly with our ,author's ,observation4 ,if red the ,sun begins his ,race1 ,be sure that ,rain will fall apace4 ,,if the ,reader would see this elegantly described1 the ,master of ,poets hath it thus4a ,above the ,rest1 the ,sun1 who never lies1 ,foretels the ,change of ,weather in the ,skies2 ,for if he rise unwilling to his ,race1 ,clouds on his ,brow1 and ,spots upon his ,face1 ,or if thro' ,mists he shoots his sullen ,beams1 ,frugal of light1 in loose and straggling ,streams1 ,suspect a drizzling ,day and southern ,rain1 ,fatal to ,fruits and ,flocks1 and promis'd ,grain4 ,footnote a3 ,sol quoque exoriens1 cum se condit in undas1 ,signa dabit3 ,solem certissima signa sequuntur1 ,et qu ,mane refert1 qu surgentibus ,astris1 ,ille ubi nascentem maculis variaverit ,ortum ,concavus in ,nubem1 medioque refugerit ,orbe2 ,suspecti tibi sint ,imbres4 ,namque urget ab alto ,arboribusque satisque ,notus ,pecorique sinister4 ,virgil4 ,georgic4 lib4 i4 v4 #dch4 ,,ii4 ,if cloudy1 and it soon decrease4 ,certain fair ,weather4 ,i ,conceive the ,reason of this to be1 that the ,vapours being then specifically lighter than the ,air1 are still rising upwards1 in which they are assisted by the ,heat of the ,sun ,beams1 agreeable to the ,notion of ,dr4 ,derham1 who observes1 that after much cloudy ,weather1 it is always fair before it rains1 because the watery ,vapours are not condensed till they reach the cold upper ,region1 agreeable to the common ,english saying1 ,the ,evening red1 and ,morning grey1 ,is a ,sign of a fair ,day4 ,,it is also an ,observation1 of ,pliny's in his natural ,history4b ,footnote b3 ,nat4 ,hist4 lib4 xviii4 cap4 #ce4 ,,si ab ortu solis repellentur ,nubes1 ad occasum abibunt1 ,serenitatem denunciabunt1 ,that is1 ,,if at ,sun rising the ,clouds are driven away1 and retire as it were to the ,west1 this denotes fair ,weather4 ,,there is an old ,adage to this ,purpose1 which1 because it is very prettily expressed1 deserves our notice1 viz4 ,a red ,evening and a grey ,morning1 ,sets the ,pilgrim a ,walking4 ,in ,french thus4 ,le rogue ,soir1 blanc ,matin2 ,font rejouvir le ,pelerin4 ,the ,italians say the same4 ,sera rosa1 nigro ,matino2 ,allegra il ,peregrino4 ,,iii4 ,,clouds ,small and round1 like a ,dappley-grey1 with a ,north-,wind4 ,fair ,weather for #b or #c ,days4 ,,this is differently expressed by other ,authors4 ,my ,lord ,bacon tells us1 that if ,clouds appear white1 and drive to the ,n4 ,w4 it is a ,sign of several ,days fair ,weather4 ,,our old ,english ,almanacks have a ,maxim to this ,purpose4 ,if woolly ,fleeces spread the ,heavenly ,way1 ,be sure no ,rain disturbs the ,summer ,day4 ,,and ,pliny to the same ,purpose4c ,footnote c3 ,ubi supra4 ,,si ,sol oriens cingetur ,orbe1 postea totus defluxerit qualiter1 ,serenitatem dabit4 ,that is1 ,,if the rising ,sun be incompassed with an ,iris1 or ,circle of white ,clouds1 and they equally fly away1 this is a ,sign of fair ,weather4 ,,there is another ,english ,proverb worth remembering4 ,in the ,decay of the ,moon1 ,a cloudy ,morning bodes a fair ,afternoon4 ,,iv4 ,large like ,rocks4----,great ,showers4 ,,in the old ,almanacks we have this ,sign of the ,weather thus expressed4 ,when ,clouds appear like ,rocks and ,towers1 ,the ,earth's refresh'd by frequent ,showers4 ,,the ,reason of this seems to be1 that the watery ,vapours are then condensed1 or condensing1 which gives them this rough and ragged ,appearance1 and as soon as the thin ,films that retain the ,water are broke by this ,pressure1 these heavy ,clouds descend in ,rain4 ,,these ,observations1 as well as some that follow1 are agreeable to all ,climates1 which is the ,reason that they appear in so many different ,authors1 and have been taken notice of in so many ,ages4 ,this however does not at all diminish the ,credit1 or the ,merit of our ,shepherd's ,observations1 who certainly drew them not from ,books1 but from his own ,experience1 and therefore their agreeing so well with the ,rules of other great ,masters1 ought to establish his ,authority in such ,cases as are not supported by alike concurrence from ancient or modern ,writers1 the ,testimony of ,nature is always sufficient ,evidence4 ,v4 ,if small ,clouds increase----,much ,rain4 ,,this and the following ,observation cannot well be understood1 without giving some ,account of ,clouds in general4 ,the ,atmosphere is supposed to extend itself about five ,miles round this ,globe of ,earth1 and within that ,space move all kind of ,vapours exhaled by the ,sun's ,force1 or protruded by the subterraneous ,heat4 ,the ascending of these ,vapours into the ,air1 depends upon many things1 and therefore as different as its ,causes2 for instance1 their ascent depends in the first place on the degree of ,heat with which they are drawn up or forced out2 next upon the ,lightness of the ,vapours themselves2 thirdly1 on the ,density or ,rarity of the ,air through which they pass2 and lastly1 on the ,force and ,direction of the ,winds1 which they encounter in their ,passage4 ,,according to the ,nature of these ,vapours1 and the ,circumstance attending their ,passage1 they appear to us differently below4 ,for if they be extremely subtile they mount very high1 and there1 according to the ,sentiment of ,sir ,isaac ,newton1 form by ,refraction the ,azure1 or blue ,colour1 that over-spreads the ,sky in serene ,weather4 ,clouds1 while they remain visible1 do not rise above the ,height of a ,mile2 and we always observe1 that the highest are of a very light ,colour1 and hardly seen4 ,if1 therefore1 small ,clouds increase1 it shews1 that the ,disposition of the ,air is such1 as that these ,clouds cannot rise therein1 either from their own ,weight1 the want of a protrusive ,force1 or from the falling of the ,wind1 which in cloudy ,weather is always a ,sign of ,rain4 ,,vi4 ,if large ,clouds decrease----,fair ,weather4 ,,the same kind of ,reasoning accounts very clearly for this ,prognostick1 since it shews1 that the ,vapours are either exhaled by the ,sun's ,heat1 or are driven off by ,winds1 and so resolved into smaller ,clouds1 capable of ascending higher in the ,atmosphere2 all which are ,circumstances that secure us from ,rain1 and afford us a certainty of fair ,weather4 ,,it is1 however1 to be observed1 that large black ,clouds are frequently1 in a ,summer ,evening1 melted into ,dews2 and this much more frequently happens in the ,autumn1 because the ,evenings are then cooler1 and the ,vapours more easily condensed for that ,reason4 ,in all ,observations of this ,sort1 there is a great degree of ,prudence and good ,sense required to apply them1 and hence it very frequently happens that such ,observations are condemned as treacherous and abusive1 merely because those who would employ them want the ,sagacity which is requisite to understand them clearly4 ,,vii4 ,,mists4 ,if they rise in low ,ground and soon vanish4 ,fair ,weather4 ,,this is a sure ,sign and very well expressed1 that is1 clearly1 and1 in few ,words1 which is the ,excellency of such ,aphorisms4 ,in order to be convinced of its good ,sense and ,certainty1 we must consider a little what ,mists are1 whence they rise1 and what becomes of them4 ,,mists are1 strictly speaking1 uncompacted ,exhalations1 which while they fleet near the ,earth are styled ,mists1 but when they ascend into the ,air1 are called ,clouds4 ,if therefore1 rising out of low ,ground1 they are driven along the ,plain1 and are soon lost to the ,sight1 it must arise from some of these ,causes4 ,that there is an ,air abroad sufficient to divide and resolve them1 or the ,heat of the ,sun has been strong enough to exhale them1 that is1 to rarify them1 so as to render them lighter than the ,air through which they were to pass4 ,whichever way this happens the ,maxim remains unimpeached4 ,,viii4 ,if they rise to the ,hill-tops4 ,rain in a ,day or two4 ,,when ,mists are very1 heavy in themselves1 and rise only by the ,action of that protrusive ,force1 exerted by the subterranean ,fire1 they can rise no higher than where the ,gravitation becomes superior to that protrusive force1 for then they descend again by their own ,weight1 and this occasions the ,appearance mentioned in the ,observation of their hanging upon ,hill-tops1 where they are very soon condensed1 and fall down in ,rain4 ,,there was formerly a very idle and ill grounded ,distinction between moist and dry ,exhalations1 whereas in ,truth all ,exhalations are moist1 or in other ,words are watery ,steams thrown off by ,bodies respectively dry1 and the former ,distinction was invented only to solve these ,phnomena of which we have been speaking1 that is1 the ,mist rising and1 dispersing without ,rain1 and the ,mist condensed and resolved into ,rain1 which as ,i have shewn may be much better explained without any such ,distinction4 ,,ix4 ,a general ,mist before the ,sun rises1 near the full ,moon4 ,fair ,weather4 ,,this is a general and a very extensive ,observation1 which enables us to judge of the ,weather for about a ,fortnight1 and there is very great ,reason to believe that it will very rarely deceive us4 ,in order to convince the ,reader of this1 it will be necessary to explain1 as far as we are able1 the ,causes of this4 ,,mists are observed to happen when the ,mercury in a ,barometer is either very low of very high4 ,they happen when it is high after the ,region of the ,air has continued calm a good while1 and in the mean time a great ,abundance of ,vapours and ,exhalations have been accumulated1 making the ,air dark by their quantity1 and the disorderly ,disposition of their parts4 ,they happen when the ,mercury is low1 sometimes because the ,rarity of the ,air renders it unable to sustain the ,vapours1 which therefore descend and fall through it4 ,,but none of these ,cases agree with the ,observation at the ,head of the ,page1 and therefore to form a true judgment of the ,weather1 we must distinguish between them and the ,case which explains the ,observation4 ,x4 ,if in the new ,moon4----,rain in the old4 ,,when ,exhalations rise copiously from the ,earth into the ,region of the ,air1 and the ,air itself is in a proper ,disposition1 they ascend to a great ,height1 and continue a long ,time before they are condensed1 which accounts very clearly and philosophically for the ,interval of fair ,weather between the rising of these ,mists1 and their falling down again in ,showers4 ,their ascending about ,sun-rise is a ,proof that the ,air is thin1 but at the same time of a ,force sufficient to sustain them1 since if the ,mists were not specifically lighter than the ,air itself they could not ascend4 ,,when the ,moon is at the full1 and such ,exhalations rise plentifully1 the time necessary for them to float in the ,atmosphere1 before they are condensed into ,clouds and ,rain1 extends1 generally speaking1 beyond the ,period of that ,moon1 and therefore the ,observation directs us to expect fair ,weather4 ,,xi4 ,if in the old4----,rain in the ,new4 ,,but as it is observed not only in this ,climate1 but all the ,world over1 that great ,changes of ,weather happen near the ,change of the ,moon1 it follows that this is the ,season when these ,exhalations that ascend so plentifully at ,sun-rising are condensed1 and consequently is the ,season when we ought to expect ,rain4 ,,if therefore the ,exhalations rise in the new ,moon1 it is a ,sign that the ,air is in a fit disposition to sustain and support them for a considerable ,time1 and therefore we have ,reason to expect that they should continue floating till the next regular change of ,weather1 that is1 till the old of the ,moon1 or rather till towards the next ,change1 and therefore the ,observation is very cautiously and very properly worded1 directing us to expect ,rain in the old1 and in the new1 and not at the old or new1 because it is observed that these ,changes of ,weather happen not exactly at the ,change of the ,moon1 but a ,day or two before or after1 of which the ,reader will meet with many ,examples in ,captain ,dampier's ,history of ,winds and ,storms at ,sea4 ,,xii4 ,,winds4 ,observe1 that in eight ,years' ,time there is as much ,south ,west ,wind1 as ,north ,east1 and consequently as many wet ,years as dry4 ,,this must be allowed a very extraordinary ,aphorism from a ,country ,shepherd1 but at the same ,time it is very agreeable to the ,observations of ,dr4 ,hooke1 ,dr4 ,derham1 ,dr4 ,grew1 and other able ,naturalists1 who with unwearied ,pains and ,diligence have calculated the ,quantity of ,rain falling in one ,year1 and compared it with what fell in another4 ,lord ,bacon1 that ,honour to our ,nation and the ,age which produced him1 informs us1 that it was an old ,opinion there was a total ,revolution of the ,weather once in forty ,years1 and wishes it was inquired into4 ,i cannot tell whether this has ever been done or not1 but ,i think there is good ,reason to conclude that there is a natural ,balance established of wet and dry ,weather1 as of ,light and ,darkness1 ,heat and ,cold1 and other such like ,variations4 ,,it may not be amiss to caution the ,reader against a ,mistake into which the ,manner of this ,rule being stated may easily lead him4 ,it is this1 that ,south ,west ,winds cause ,rain1 and ,north ,east ,winds fair ,weather1 which however is not a ,thing clear or certain by any means4 ,this indeed is true1 that ,south ,west ,winds and ,rain1 ,north ,east ,winds and fair ,weather come together1 generally speaking4 ,but the ,question is1 which causes the other1 and a more difficult ,question cannot easily be stated1 because there seems to be ,facts on both sides4 ,south ,west ,winds seldom continue long without ,rain1 this seems to prove the affirmative1 but on the other ,hand1 when in hard ,weather1 ,rain begins to fall1 the ,wind commonly veers to the ,south ,west1 this looks as if the ,rain caused the ,wind4 ,,but to keep close to the ,shepherd's ,observation4 ,there is one ,thing seems strongly to confirm it1 which is this1 that in any given ,place the ,quantity of ,rain one ,year with another is found to be the same by ,experience1 according to which the following ,table has been calculated1 for the mean ,quantity of ,rain falling one ,year with another in those ,places that are mentioned1 and on this ,proportion the other seems to be founded4 ,at ,harlem #bd ,inches ,delf #bg ,dort #dj ,middleburg #cc ,paris #bj ,lyons #cg ,rome #bj ,padua #cg-a_/b ,pisa #cd-a_/d ,ulm #bg ,berlin #ai-a_/b ,in ,lancashire #dj ,essex #ai-a_/b ,,xiii4 ,when the ,wind turns to ,north ,east1 and it continues two ,days without ,rain1 and does not turn ,south the third ,day1 nor ,rain the third ,day1 it is likely to continue ,north ,east for eight or nine ,days1 all fair2 and then to come to the ,south again4 ,,in my ,opinion this and the subsequent ,remarks depend entirely upon ,observations1 and may serve rather to found an ,hypothesis1 than seem be deduced from one4 ,that the ,variations of the ,wind depend on certain ,causes1 and may consequently be reduced to ,rules1 is highly probable1 and such ,observations as these render it in a manner certain4 ,but to explore these ,causes1 and to explain them in such a manner as to account for these ,phnomena in a satisfactory manner1 requires not only great ,sagacity but much ,experience1 and many ,years' ,observation1 which1 however1 considering the great ,benefits that would result to ,mankind from establishing such a ,,theory1 would be ,time well bestowed4 ,,we may however easily conceive that a constant ,north ,east ,wind must be accompanied with fair ,weather4 ,for whatever the causes of ,winds may be1 yet on this side the ,equator1 a strong and settled ,north ,east always buoys up the ,clouds and keeps them suspended4 ,this has been long observed by1 and passes for a settled point amongst ,seamen4 ,the ,reason of it however cannot be so easily assigned1 at least a satisfactory ,reason1 for as to ,suppositions1 every fanciful ,man can furnish them at ,pleasure4 ,,this1 as well as the following ,observations1 very plainly and clearly prove1 that in this ,part of the ,world fair ,weather attends one ,wind1 and wet another1 but which is the ,cause and which the ,effect1 or whether both are not the ,effects of some other ,cause1 ,i pretend not absolutely to determine4 ,but inasmuch as it is certainly known1 that ,rains attend in other ,climates those ,winds that are here attended with fair ,weather1 it seems more agreeable to suppose that rainy ,weather is occasioned chiefly by ,west ,winds1 because loaded with moist ,vapours from the ,sea4 ,,xiv4 ,if it turn out again out of the ,south to the ,north ,east with ,rain1 and continues in the ,north ,east two ,days without ,rain1 and neither turns ,south nor rains the third ,day1 it is like to continue ,north ,east for two or three months4 ,the ,wind will finish these ,turns in three ,weeks4 ,,this ,observation is of the same nature with the former1 and is plainly deduced from long experience4 ,our ,author seems to contradict himself in saying that these ,winds finish their ,turns in three ,weeks1 but his true ,meaning certainly is1 that they are about three ,weeks in turning from the ,south to the ,north ,east again4 ,some very great men have laid it down as a thing certain1 that the ,variations of the ,wind are to be accounted for by the ,alteration of the ,balance of the ,air1 occasioned by the different ,effects of ,heat and ,cold2 but other ,writers again insist very copiously on the ,effects which ,winds have upon the ,air1 and thus confound us in a ,circle of ,causes and ,effects1 whence it is plain that they do not thoroughly understand the ,subject themselves1 and therefore it is no ,wonder that they are not able to explain it to others4 ,,in some ,parts of the ,world1 and especially between the ,tropicks1 the ,winds are regular1 and therefore our ,philosophers seem to talk more rationally about them4 ,but in our ,northern ,countries the ,alterations of the ,wind are so frequent1 sudden1 and often so little agreeable to the ,season1 that such general ,reasonings will by no ,means serve to explain them4 ,it is however very reasonable to suppose that the same general ,cause prevails here as between the ,tropics1 but with less ,certainty1 because the ,power of the ,sun is not so great1 and the ,determinations of the ,winds depend on the ,situation of ,mountains1 ,rocks1 and ,woods1 which direct the ,air driving against them into certain ,courses1 so that it is impossible to explain1 or indeed to judge of the ,course of the ,winds till the ,country is thoroughly known1 and all those ,eminences that can affect the ,winds are well considered4 ,,from these ,reflections the ,value of our ,shepherd's ,observations will clearly appear4 ,he was not ,philosopher enough to talk in this ,style1 but by a long and steady ,attention he came to know1 experimentally1 what perhaps few ,philosophers1 with all their ,sagacity1 would have been able to have found out4 ,,xv4 ,s4 ,w4 ,,winds4 ,after a northerly ,wind for the most ,part two months or more1 and then coming ,south1 there are usually three or four fair ,days at first1 and then1 on the fourth or fifth ,day1 comes ,rain1 or else the ,wind turns ,north again1 and continues dry4 ,,this is likewise a very judicious and very useful ,observation1 and yet it is not a difficult matter to account for it4 ,it is a common ,observation1 and a very true one1 that there is usually fair ,weather before a settled course of ,rain4 ,the ,winds that bring the dark rainy ,clouds that obscure the ,sky1 and cause dull cloudy ,weather1 often raise these ,vapours to such a height1 that they are attracted into the cold ,region above our ,sight1 till being condensed there1 they fall down upon us again in ,snow or ,rain1 according to our ,author's ,observation4 ,,but if1 after a seeming ,tendency to ,rain1 there follow several ,days of fine ,weather1 it is a certain ,indication that the ,temper of the ,air is altered1 and that these ,vapours had been driven off before they had time to condense1 which is confirmed by the ,change of the ,wind on such ,occasions4 ,,all these ,observations are to be understood in a proper ,latitude1 and not strictly and according to the very ,letter4 ,for ,rain may fall the sixth or seventh ,day1 or the ,wind may change the second or third4 ,besides1 a ,man who would make use of these ,observations in the ,country1 must consider attentively the ,situation of the ,place where he lives1 the bearing of the ,sea1 ,marshes1 ,ponds1 ,lakes1 ,woods1 ,mountains1 ,rocks1 c4 ,for without making proper ,allowances for these1 all such ,observations on the ,weather will be apt to fail him4 ,,xvi4 ,if it return to the ,south within a ,day or two without ,rain1 and turn ,northward with ,rain1 and return to the ,south1 in one or two ,days1 as before1 two or three ,times together after this ,sort1 then it is like to be in the ,south1 or ,south ,west1 two or three ,months together1 as it was in the ,north before4 ,the ,winds will finish these ,turns in a ,fortnight4 ,,this may appear a little perplexed to an ordinary ,reader1 but a little ,attention will make it very clear and plain2 and whoever considers what mighty ,uses may be made of the ,foresight of ,weather for a ,month or two1 will not think this ,labour ill bestowed4 ,i must confess ,i look upon these three ,rules in ,relation to the ,wind as the most useful in the whole ,collection4 ,especially to ,farmers and ,country ,people1 to whom they are of the greatest ,consequence4 ,,but it is a common ,thing for such ,people to say1 what ,certainty is there that these ,rules will prove true1 what ,probability is there that the ,wind should continue so long in one ,quarter1 and then so long in another1 how shall we be satisfied that there is any truth in this2 or1 if we cannot be satisfied as to the ,truth of it1 why should we depend upon any such like ,observations8 ,,to this ,i answer1 that they may have reasonable ,satisfaction given them on this ,head4 ,some of our great ,naturalists1 who had kept ,journals of the ,weather for many ,years1 have found that the same ,wind blows every ,year very near the same number of ,days1 and that there is a regular ,continuance of different ,winds annually in every ,country4 ,for ,instance1 ,at ,utrecht they blow thus1 ,the ,n4 ,wind #db ,days4 ,the ,n4 ,w4 #cc ,the ,w4 #gg ,the ,s4 ,w4 #eh ,the ,south #cc ,the ,s4 ,e4 #bf ,the ,e4 #ec ,the ,n4 ,e4 #dc --- #cfe ,,it is a ,thing plain to every ,capacity1 that a ,journal or ,diary of the ,winds may be kept any where1 and if from such a ,journal it appears that a given ,wind blows for a certain ,number of ,days1 then it follows1 that if these can be determined with ,certainty1 the ,time of their blowing may also be determined1 at least with great ,probability1 which is as satisfactory an ,answer as can be justly expected1 because it shews that there is just and rational ,ground for confiding in such ,observations1 when confirmed by long ,experience4 ,,xvii4 ,fair ,weather for a ,week1 with a ,southern ,wind1 is like to produce a great ,drought1 if there has been much ,rain out of the ,south before4 ,the ,wind usually turns from ,north to ,south1 with a quiet ,wind without ,rain1 but returns to the ,north1 with a strong ,wind and ,rain2 the strongest ,winds are when it turns from ,south1 to ,north by ,west4 ,n4 ,b4 ,when the ,north ,wind first clears the ,air 7which is usually once a ,week7 be sure of a fair ,day or two4 ,,observations of this ,nature upon ,winds have employed the ablest ,heads in all ,ages4 ,pliny the great ,naturalist has left us a great deal upon this ,subject1 which plainly proves that it has been the ,opinion of the ablest and wisest ,men that ,study and ,experience might reduce even ,things of such seeming ,incertainty under stated ,rules1 and within the ,bounds of a regular ,system4 ,for ,instance he tells us4 ,,in ,africa the ,south ,wind is serene1 the ,north ,east cloudy4 ,all the ,winds have their ,turns4 ,to judge rationally of their ,changes1 the fourth ,day of the ,moon is to be regarded4--,the ,south ,wind blows stronger than the ,north ,east1 because the former rises from the ,bottom1 whereas the latter comes from the ,surface of the ,sea4 ,it is for this ,reason that those ,earthquakes are most dangerous that follow after a ,south ,wind4 ,,in order to understand this ,notion of ,pliny1 we need only advert to the ,account given us by the ,reverend ,mr4 ,robinson1 in his natural ,history of ,westmoreland1 which is exceedingly curious1 and well worthy of the ,reader's perusal4 ,this ingenious ,gentleman is of ,opinion that ,winds have their original from the ,sea1 of which he gives the following very probable ,account4 ,,it1 that is1 the ,wind1 proceeds from vast swarms of nitrous ,particles arising from the ,bottom of the ,sea1 which being put into ,motion1 either by the central ,fire1 or by the ,heat and ,fermentation which abound in this great ,body of the ,earth2 and therefore the first ,commotion excited by the said ,fermentation1 we call a ,bottom ,wind1 which is presently discovered by ,porpusses and other ,sea ,fish1 which delight in sporting and playing upon the ,waves of the ,sea1 and by their playing give the ,mariners the first ,notice of an approaching ,storm4 ,,when these nitrous swarms are risen towards the ,surface of the ,sea in a dark ,night1 they cause such a shining light upon the ,waves1 as if the ,sea was on fire4 ,and being delivered from the brackish ,water1 and received into the open ,air1 those fiery and shining ,meteors which fix upon the ,masts and ,sides of the ,ships1 and are only nitrous particles condensed by the circumambient ,cold1 and like that which the ,chymists call ,phosphorus1 or artificial ,glow-worm1 shine and cast a ,light but have no ,heat3 ,this gives the ,mariners the second ,notice that the ,storm is rising1 for upon the first breaking out of the ,wind1 the ,sea begins to be rough1 and the ,waves swell and rise1 when at the same time the ,air is calm and clear4 ,,this boiling ,fermentation of the ,sea causes the ,vapours to rise1 which by the ,intenseness of the circumambient ,cold are condensed into thick ,clouds1 and fall down in ,storms of ,wind and ,rain1 first upon the ,sea1 from whence they rose1 and then the attractive ,power of the ,mountain-cold1 by a secret ,magnetism between ,vapour and ,cold1 attracts the waterish ,vapours1 intermixt with nitrous ,particles1 to the high ,tops of ,mountains and ,hills1 where they hang hovering in thick ,fogs and waterish ,mists1 until the atmospherical ,heat rarefies the nitrous ,part of the ,fog 7which is always uppermost1 and appears white and translucent7 into brisk ,gales of ,wind1 and the ,intenseness of atmospherical ,cold having attracted the ,vapours into the colder ,regions of the ,air1 where being condensed into ,clouds1 the ,wind breaks1 dissipates1 and drives them before it1 till they fall down in ,rain1 and water the ,surface of the ,earth4 ,and this seems to be the ,reason why1 in ,egypt1 and those level ,countries where they have no ,mountains1 they have little ,wind and less ,rain4 ,,xviii4 ,,clouds4 ,in ,summer or ,harvest1 when the ,wind has been ,south two or three ,days1 and it grows very hot1 and you see ,clouds rise with great white ,tops like ,towers1 as if one were upon the ,top of another1 and joined together with black on the nether ,side1 there will be ,thunder and ,rain suddenly4 ,,we may very easily account for this ,observation1 because in ,fact the ,signs here mentioned are no other than ,nature's apparatus for a ,storm of ,thunder and ,lightning1 which will be perfectly understood by attending a little to the ,causes of these ,meteors4 ,lightning is a great flame1 very bright1 extending every way to a great distance1 suddenly darting upwards1 there ending1 so that it is only momentaneous4 ,the ,matter which produces the ,fire1 is the ,oil of ,plants1 attenuated by the heat of the ,day1 and raised on high4 ,then whatever has exhaled from the ,earth that is sulphureous or ,oily1 which is dispersed up and down in the ,atmosphere1 and is not continuous1 is set on ,fire by ,turns1 and the ,flame dilates itself as far as the ,tract of that ,exhalation reaches4 ,some other ,substance pendant and floating in the ,air meets with this also1 with which it excites an effervescence1 takes ,fire and flashes along with it4 ,thunder is another bright ,flame1 rising on a sudden1 moving with great ,velocity through the ,air1 according to any ,determination upwards from the ,earth horizontally1 obliquely1 downwards in a right ,line1 or in several right ,lines as it were in serpentine ,tracts joined at various ,angles1 and commonly ending with a loud ,noise or ,rattling4 ,,it is observed that it thunders most when the ,wind blows from the ,south1 and least when it blows from the ,east4 ,the great ,principle of ,thunder is ,sulphur1 as is evident from the ,smell it leaves behind it2 but in order to occasion such an ,explosion1 there must be other ,ingredients mixed therewith1 especially ,nitre1 of which the ,air is always full1 besides other ,things1 of which it is impossible to give any ,account4 ,the ,tracts of this ,sort of ,matter fly about in the ,air1 and are as it were ,lines of ,gunpowder1 and as in the firing of that ,powder1 the ,fire begins at one ,end1 and pursuing its ,aliment proceeds to the other ,extremity1 and so the whole ,mass of ,powder is fired2 we may from thence account for the ,phnomenon of ,thunder4 ,for in like ,manner those inflamed ,tracts which are suspended in the ,air1 flash from a ,flame that runs from one ,extreme to the other1 wherever the ,vein of ,nourishment leads it4 ,hence those ,rays of ,thunder1 which seem to be brandished through the ,air1 and sometimes to be split in two or more ,tracts1 and sometimes to return back1 at other ,times to be projected in ,lines that are joined by various ,angles1 and this only because the ,flame meets with ,tracts lying in various ,situations that cohere one with another4 ,therefore ,thunder seems now to run horizontally1 now from above downwards1 now upwards from the ,earth1 for if the ,matter of ,thunder pressing out of the ,earth is enflamed near the ,ground1 the ,flame darting upwards1 the ,thunder will seem to be projected out of the ,earth4 ,if the same ,tract be set on ,fire at its upper end1 the ,flame will move downwards1 and the ,thunder will seem to descend out of the ,sky4 ,,hence we easily understand how it comes to thunder oftener in one ,place than another1 but most frequently in those where the ,soil produces odoriferous ,herbs1 and abounds with ,sulphur1 and where the ,people are much exposed to the extreme ,heat of the ,sun4 ,thunder is less frequent in ,places where there are few odoriferous ,herbs1 very little ,sulphur1 or where the ,climate is watery and moist4 ,for ,instance1 it thunders very much in ,italy and ,sicily1 and very rarely in ,egypt1 and the adjacent ,countries4 ,if it be demanded how it comes to thunder in the midst of the ,ocean8 ,the ,answer is easy1 because from the ,bottom of the ,ocean vast ,tracts of sulphureous ,matter are cast up through the ,waters2 as it happens to spring ,waters in several ,places1 the ,streams of which will take ,fire from a lighted ,candle4 ,for sulphureous ,exhalations bursting out together with the ,waters1 the fulmineous ,matter in the ,air is set on ,fire when it meets with ,exhalations or ,vapours with which it can excite a vehement ,effervescence4 ,it is very clear from this ,account1 that the ,clouds mentioned at the ,top of the twenty-eighth ,page are thunder ,clouds1 or ,clouds big with the ,materials of ,thunder4 ,,xix4 ,if two such ,clouds arise1 one on either ,hand1 it is ,time to make haste to shelter4 ,,as this ,observation is of the same ,nature with the former1 we shall continue our ,remarks4 ,the ,reason why it seldom thunders in ,winter is1 because the exterior ,parts of the ,earth are so contracted by the cold ,snow and ,ice1 that ,sulphur cannot perspire in any great ,quantities1 but as soon as the ,earth begins to be opened by the ,sun in the ,spring1 something expires in the ,month of ,april which takes ,fire4 ,but by the greater ,heat of the ,sun penetrating deeper into the ,earth1 the ,cortex is more opened in ,may1 and now there is a more copious ,expiration of the fulminating ,matter1 and whatever was collected and shut up in ,winter1 is now released and snatched up in the ,air1 and thence proceeds the most frequent ,thunders in the ,month of ,may1 and chiefly when a very hot ,day or two has gone before4 ,a less ,quantity of the same ,matter remains in the upper ,cortex of the ,earth for the ,month of ,june1 but in the mean ,time a ,stock arises out of the deeper ,bowels of the ,earth1 which is attenuated and prepared1 so that by the very fervent ,heat of ,july it is elevated1 as it were in heaps1 and set on ,fire4 ,hence ,thunder is as frequent in ,july as in ,may4 ,and the ,heat decreasing in the succeeding ,months1 the ,exhalation of the fulminating ,matter out of the ,earth is more sparing1 and thence1 also1 the thunder is less frequent1 till in ,october1 and the other winter months1 the earth is bound up with us1 and hardly expires any more4 ,hence we see why it very seldom thunders when the northerly winds blow2 for these winds constringe the earth with their cold1 and so hinder the fulminating matter from bursting forth2 and when they are burst forth and floating in the air1 they hinder their effervency4 ,but on the contrary1 when the warm and moist south winds blow1 which open every thing1 the earth likewise is opened1 and abundance of fulminating matter is expired and ascends on high1 which is there easily inflamed4 ,,as the flame runs very swiftly1 it seems to carry along with it particles1 which it could not so easily set on fire1 and when any of these particles are drawn together1 and heated to a certain degree1 they at last take fire1 with a sudden and great explosion1 and thereby produce what we call a thunder ,clap4 ,now1 though this be only a single sound1 yet it is often heard in the form of a great murmuring noise of a long continuance2 sometimes for thirty or forty seconds1 because of its various repercussions by the clouds and terrestrial obstacles4 ,hence it is1 that in vales1 which are surrounded by mountains of a different ,height1 there is a terrible and long continued ,bellowing of thunder ,claps4 ,whereas for one ,explosion it has been observed that there is but one ,clap4 ,yet however if the ,flame set ,fire to two1 three1 or more fulmineous ,tracts1 each of them at last will end in a ,clap1 and thus several ,sounds may be heard together1 or quickly succeeding one another4 ,,xx4 ,if you see a ,cloud rise against the ,wind or side ,wind1 when that ,cloud comes up to you1 the ,wind will blow the same ,way that the ,cloud came4 ,and the same ,rule holds of a clear ,place1 when all the ,sky is equally thick1 except one clear ,edge4 ,,this seems to arise from hence1 that ,wind being nothing more than ,air in motion1 the ,effects of it first discover themselves above1 and actually drive such ,clouds before them4 ,this was long ago observed by ,pliny4 ,when ,clouds1 says he1 float about in a serene ,sky1 from whatever ,quarter they come1 you may expect ,winds4 ,if they are collected together in one ,place1 they will be dispersed by the approach of the ,sun4 ,if these ,clouds come from the ,north ,east1 they denote ,winds2 if from the ,south great ,rains4 ,but let them come from what ,quarter they will1 if you see them driving thus about ,sunset1 they are sure signs of an approaching ,tempest4 ,,if the ,clouds look dusky1 or of a tarnish silver ,colour1 and move very slowly1 it is a ,sign of ,hail4 ,but to speak more plainly1 those very ,clouds are laden with ,hail1 which if there be a ,mixture of ,blue in the ,clouds will be small1 but if very yellow1 large4 ,small scattering ,clouds that fly very high1 especially1 from the ,south ,west1 denote ,whirlwinds4 ,the shooting of fallen ,stars through them1 is a ,sign of ,thunder4 ,we meet with many ,observations of this sort in our old ,writers on ,husbandry1 and we have abundance of ,proverbs relating to this ,subject which are worth observing1 and the rather1 because most of them are not peculiar to our ,language only1 but common to us with many of our ,neighbours4 ,it is the ,remark of ,lord ,bacon1 and a very judicious ,remark too1 that ,proverbs are the ,philosophy of the common ,people1 that is to say1 they are trite ,remarks founded in ,truth1 and fitted for ,memory4 ,i must confess that there are some of them that seem either false1 or of no great ,consequence1 but then ,i am apt to suspect1 that by various ,accidents we have lost their true ,meaning1 or else1 that in length of ,time1 they have been altered and corrupted1 till they have little or no meaning at all4 ,i cannot help taking ,notice in ,regard to the ,rule before us1 that ,captain ,dampier tells us in the ,east-,indies1 they have always ,notice of a ,tuffoon by the ,skies being first clear and calm1 and then a small white ,cloud hanging precisely in the ,point from whence the ,storm comes1 where he observes that it remains sometimes twelve ,hours or more1 and adds1 that as soon as it begins to move1 the ,wind presently follows it4 ,when ,sir ,john ,bury1 who died an ,english ,admiral1 had the ,command of a small ,frigate in the ,west-,indies1 he escaped a ,hurricane in the ,leward ,islands by taking the ,advice of a poor ,negro1 who shewed him a small white ,cloud at a ,distance1 and assured him that when it came to the ,zenith1 the ,hurricane would infallibly begin1 as indeed it did4 ,,xxi4 ,sudden ,rains never last long3 ,but when the ,air grows thick by ,degrees1 and the ,sun1 ,moon1 and ,stars shine dimmer and dimmer1 then it is like to rain six ,hours usually4 ,,rain is1 properly speaking1 a ,multitude of small watery ,drops1 falling from the upper ,air at different ,seasons4 ,when the upper ,regions become cold of a sudden1 the watery ,clouds are condensed and fall in hasty ,showers4 ,it is observed that mountainous ,countries have most ,rain1 and the ,reason seems to be the ,winds driving the ,clouds against the ,rocks and ,hills1 and thereby compressing them in such a ,manner1 that they are immediately dissolved1 and fall as it were at once4 ,this is the ,reason that in ,lancashire there falls twice as much ,rain as in ,essex1 and it is probably from the same ,cause1 that in the ,ocean1 over-against the mountainous ,coast of ,guinea1 showers sometimes fall as it were by ,pailfuls4 ,,this ,observation of our ,shepherd is very just and reasonable1 and ,i dare say will hardly ever fail such as observe it4 ,the ,dimness of the ,stars and other heavenly ,bodies1 is one of the surest ,signs of very rainy ,weather4 ,it is likewise to be observed that when the ,stars look bigger than usual1 and are pale and dull and without ,rays1 this undoubtedly indicates that the ,clouds are condensing into ,rain1 which will very soon fall2 and it has been observed that when the ,air grows thick by ,degrees1 and the ,light of the ,sun lessens so as not to be discerned at all1 and again when the ,moon or ,stars have the same ,appearances1 a continued ,rain for at least six ,hours is sure to follow4 ,,to be the better informed in such ,cases1 it is best to have ,recourse to a variety of ,signs1 for it is not only the ,clouds and ,sky1 or the ,sun1 ,moon1 and ,stars1 that gives us previous ,notice of rainy ,weather1 but almost every ,thing in the ,creation1 and ,vegetables particularly4 ,as for ,instance1 the ,pimpernel1 which is a very common flower1 shuts itself up extremely close against rainy ,weather4 ,in like manner the ,trefoil swells in the ,stalk against ,rain1 so that it stands up very stiff1 but the ,leaves droop and hang down4 ,even the most solid ,bodies are affected by this ,change of the ,atmosphere1 for ,stones seem to sweat1 and ,wood swells1 the ,air driving the moist ,particles with which it is filled into the ,pores of dry ,wood especially1 makes it swell prodigiously1 and this is the ,reason the ,doors and ,windows are hard to shut in rainy ,weather4 ,,this is so true1 that there has been a ,method found of dividing ,mill-stones by the mere ,force of the ,air1 which is done in this ,manner4 ,they divide a ,block of this kind of ,stone as big as a large rolling ,stone1 into as many ,parts as they design to make ,millstones1 and in the ,circles where this ,block is to be divided1 they pierce several ,holes1 which they fill with allow ,wood dried in an ,oven1 and expose the ,stone to the ,air1 in moist ,weather2 when the ,wood swells to such a ,degree as to split the ,stone as effectually1 as if it was by iron ,wedges driven by ,sledge-,hammers4 ,this curious and extraordinary ,method of dividing ,mill-stones is related by the famous ,mr4 ,ozanam of his own ,knowledge4 ,,xxii4 ,if it begin to ,rain from the ,south1 with a high ,wind for two or three ,hours1 and the ,wind falls1 but the ,rain continues1 it is like to rain twelve ,hours or more1 and does usually rain till a strong ,north ,wind clears the ,air4 ,these long ,rains seldom hold above twelve ,hours1 or happen above once a ,year4 ,,this depends entirely upon ,observation1 and ,experience shews us that whenever the ,wind falls1 ,rain follows4 ,it has been likewise observed1 that when the ,wind changes often there fall heavy ,rains4 ,all these ,alterations in the ,atmosphere1 are less observed by ,men than by ,animals1 for two ,reasons4 ,the first is1 that we live much within ,doors1 by which they are less obvious to us1 and it is for this ,reason that the ,husbandman1 ,seamen1 ,fishermen1 but above all ,shepherds1 who are more in the open ,air than other ,men1 are better acquainted with1 and more able to distinguish and judge of the ,signs of the ,alteration of the ,weather1 than those who live altogether within ,doors1 or go out but seldom4 ,another ,reason is our having so many ,things to mind1 which takes off our ,thoughts1 and renders us less attentive to the ,signals which would give up ,notice of such ,alterations4 ,it is for this ,reason that we ought to serve ourselves of that ,sort of ,instinct which ,nature has given to other ,animals1 and which as it is a ,gift of ,nature1 is in a ,manner infallible4 ,,thus if small ,birds prune themselves and duck and make a shew of washing4 ,if ,crows make a great ,noise in the ,evening1 if ,geese gaggle more than usual1 these are all ,signs of ,rain1 because these ,animals love wet ,weather1 and rejoice at the approach of it4 ,on the other ,hand1 if ,oxen lie on their ,right ,sides1 look towards the ,south1 and lick their ,hoofs1 if ,cows look up in the ,air1 and snuff it1 if ,asses bray violently1 and if ,cocks crow at unusual ,hours1 but especially when a ,hen and ,chickens crowd into the ,house1 these are sure ,signs of ,rain4 ,,insects also are very sensible of such ,changes of ,weather4 ,frogs croak more than ordinary1 ,worms creep out of the ,ground1 ,moles throw up more ,earth than usual1 because such ,weather is more agreeable to them2 ,hornets1 ,wasps1 and ,gnats1 sting more frequently against wet ,weather than in fair4 ,spiders are restless and uneasy1 and frequently drop from the ,wall1 the humid ,air getting into their ,webs and making them heavy4 ,but the surest and most certain ,sign is taken from ,bees1 which are more incommoded by ,rain than almost any other ,creatures1 and therefore1 as soon as the ,air begins to grow heavy1 and the ,vapours to condense1 they will not fly from their ,hives1 but either remain in them all ,day1 or else fly but to a small ,distance4 ,,xxiii4 ,if it begins to rain an ,hour or two before ,sun-rising1 it is like to be fair before ,noon1 and so continue that ,day1 but if the ,rain begin an ,hour or two after ,sun-rising1 it is like to ,rain all that ,day1 except the ,rainbow be seen before it rains4 ,,this is a short1 clear1 and easy ,observation1 and therefore ,i shall not dwell long upon it1 but rather entertain the ,reader with a few ,observations on the ,rainbow4 ,whenever it appears1 things are thus circumstanced4 ,the ,spectator has the ,sun behind him1 and ,clouds with the ,bow in them before him4 ,sometimes there are two and even three ,bows seen1 but this is very rare4 ,the ,colours in the ,bow are ranged in this ,order1 viz4 ,violet1 ,purple1 ,blue1 ,green1 ,yellow1 ,orange1 ,red4 ,after a long ,drought the ,bow is a certain ,sign of ,rain1 if after much ,wet fair ,weather4 ,if the ,green be large and bright it is a ,sign of ,rain1 but if the ,red be the strongest ,colour1 then it denotes ,wind and ,rain together4 ,if the ,bow breaks up all at once there will follow serene and settled ,weather4 ,if the ,bow be seen in the ,morning small ,rain will follow4 ,if at ,noon1 settled and heavy ,rains2 if at ,night1 fair ,weather4 ,the ,appearance of two or three ,rainbows shews fair ,weather for the present1 but settled and heavy ,rains in two or three ,days' ,time4 ,,lunar ,rainbows are sometimes1 but very seldom seen1 they are extremely beautiful1 but much less than those that appear in the ,day time1 and a yellow1 or rather a straw ,colour prevails most4 ,as they happen so seldom1 they cannot well be reckoned amongst the ,signs of ,weather4 ,but now1 after speaking of so many different ,methods of judging when rainy ,weather will be of a short or long ,continuance3 ,give me leave to describe two or three ,instruments easily made1 which will shew the ,alterations of the ,weather certainly1 constantly1 and early enough for most ,uses4 ,,there were some ,years ago a ,sort of ,toys sold1 with a ,man and a ,woman so fixed before the ,door of a ,house1 that at the ,approach of wet ,weather the ,woman entered it1 and when the ,weather grew fair the ,man4 ,this was done by the ,help of a ,bit of ,catgut1 which shrinks in wet ,weather1 and stretches again when it is fair4 ,this appears better by a ,line and ,plummet1 especially if the ,line be made of good ,whipcord1 that is well dried1 for then if it be hung against a ,wainscot1 and a ,line drawn under it exactly where the ,plummet reaches1 in very moderate ,weather it will be found to rise above it before ,rain1 and to sink below when the ,weather is like to become fair2 but the best ,instrument of all is a good ,pair of ,scales1 in one of which let there be a brass ,weight of a ,pound1 and in the other a ,pound of ,salt1 or of ,salt-,petre well dried1 a ,stand being placed under the ,scale1 so as to hinder its falling too low4 ,when it is inclined to rain the ,salt will swell1 and sink the ,scale1 when the ,weather is growing fair1 the brass ,weight will regain its ,ascendancy4 ,,xxiv4 ,,spring and ,,summer4 ,if the last eighteen ,days of ,february and ten ,days of ,march be for the most part rainy1 then the ,spring and ,summer ,quarters are like to be so too3 and ,i never knew a great ,drought but it entered in that ,season4 ,,it is easy to discover by ,observation whether this ,rule be well or ill founded1 that is to say1 whether our ,shepherd's ,observation will serve for other ,places or not1 and where it will serve and where not4 ,but it may not be amiss to remark that it is highly probable1 or rather absolutely certain1 that the ,weather in one ,season of the ,year determines the ,weather in another4 ,for instance1 if there be a rainy ,winter then the ,autumn will be dry1 if a dry ,spring1 then a rainy ,winter4 ,our ,forefathers had abundance of odd ,sayings upon this ,subject1 and some ,proverbs for every ,month in the ,year1 but ,i doubt they were indifferently founded1 however there can be no ,harm in observing them1 in order to discover whether there be any thing in them or not4 ,janiveer freeze the ,pot by the ,fire ,if the ,grass grow in ,janiveer ,it grows the worse for't all the ,year4 ,the ,welchman had rather see his ,dam on the ,bier ,than to see a fair ,februeer4 ,march ,wind and ,may ,sun ,make ,clothes white and ,maids ,dun4 ,when ,april blows his ,horn ,it's good both for ,hay and ,corn4 ,an ,april ,flood ,carries away the ,frog and her ,brood4 ,a cold ,may and a windy ,makes a full ,barn and a ,findy4 ,a ,may ,flood never did good4 ,a ,swarm of ,bees in ,may ,is worth a ,load of ,hay4 ,but a ,swarm in ,july ,is not worth a ,fly1 c4 ,,xxv4 ,,winter4 ,if the latter ,end of ,october and ,beginning of ,november be for the most ,part warm and rainy1 then ,january and ,february are like to be frosty and cold1 except after a very dry ,summer4 ,,it is very evident1 supposing this ,observation to be true1 as ,i am pretty confident it is1 that the ,reason of it is to be sought in that ,balance of the ,weather which ,providence has established4 ,there is not only a ,time to sow1 and a ,time to reap1 but there is a ,time also for dry and a ,time for wet ,weather1 and if these do not happen at proper ,seasons1 they will certainly happen at other ,seasons2 for not only the ,wisdom of ,philosophers hath discerned1 but their ,experiments and ,observations have put it out of doubt1 that there is a certain ,rule or ,proportion observed between wet ,weather and dry in every ,country1 so that it is nearly the same in every annual ,revolution1 neither is wet and dry ,weather only1 but hot and cold1 open and frost1 that are thus regulated1 from whence we see1 that when the ,scripture represents to us ,god's settling ,things by ,weight and ,measure1 it speaks not only elegantly1 but exactly4 ,for we do not mean by ,providence any extraordinary or supernatural ,interposition of almighty ,power1 but the constant and settled ,order established by the ,will of that almighty ,being which we commonly call ,nature4 ,,there is nothing easier than for vulgar ,understandings to mistake the ,meaning of ,words1 and by a ,superstition natural to weak ,minds convert1 what they imperfectly understand into ,notions that perplex and confound them4 ,hence it proceeds that in common ,conversation one hears ,people speak of ,nature as of a ,being1 or a ,kind of subordinate ,deity1 whereas in ,reality the true ,meaning of ,nature is1 that ,order or ,law which ,god has established in the ,universe1 and the ,knowledge of ,nature is no more than the ,light we acquire by ,study into the ,connexion of those ,laws4 ,in this ,sense ,experience is a ,kind of ,revelation1 that is to say1 it is a ,sort of ,knowledge that comes to us from without1 and is infallible in itself1 we may indeed go on wrong and deceive ourselves in the ,arguments we raise from it1 but the ,knowledge grounded upon ,experiments never varies4 ,,this is sufficient to shew us how much wiser a ,thing it is to trust this ,sort of experimental ,knowledge1 then to put any ,faith in that ,kind of idle ,science which amused our ,forefathers1 and enabled ,almanac ,makers to delude and mislead them4 ,it is true we use the ,luminaries as well as they1 but then we use them in a rational ,manner1 and do not pretend to impose this or that ,sign upon other ,people1 but barely set down our own ,observations1 which are to be examined and verified by the ,experience of those to whom they are submitted4 ,the ,astrologer on the other ,hand insists on what are not in ,nature2 the twelve ,houses are a mere ,invention1 and so are all the ,properties ascribed to the celestial ,signs1 and to the ,planets2 mere ,dreams and ,fictions devised by the ,cunning to cheat and impose upon the ,ignorant1 and which had been long ago exploded if ,people had brought them to the only ,test of which they are capable1 ,i mean that of ,experience2 with which they never did1 never will1 and indeed never can agree3 whereas the ,rules given by our ,shepherd1 are such as we have shewn1 suit perfectly well with ,remarks of other studious ,persons in all ,ages4 ,,xxvi4 ,if ,october and ,november be ,snow and ,frost1 then ,january and ,february are like to be open and mild4 ,,as this ,observation stands on the same ,foundation with the last1 we need not dwell upon it particularly1 and therefore ,i shall proceed with my former ,reflections4 ,the only ,way to be acquainted with ,nature1 is to study ,nature4 ,all ,systems of human ,invention that are not built upon ,experiments1 are sooner or later found to be false1 because1 to say the ,truth1 they are nothing better than ingenious ,contrivances invented by the ,wit of ,man1 to conceal his ,ignorance4 ,in order to account for what we behold1 we must first of all take ,pains to be well acquainted with the ,fact1 and not suffer ourselves to be led away by ,opinion4 ,in order to explain what ,i mean1 ,i shall give an ,instance4 ,all the ,world knows that not only the vulgar1 but the learned1 were for many ,ages in a constant ,error about ,corruption1 and really believed that the ,heat of the ,sun1 and even animal ,heat produced ,worms1 ,maggots1 and other living ,creatures4 ,many grave ,writers carried the ,thing farther1 and told us of ,rats1 ,mice1 and other ,creatures produced out of the ,slime of the ,river ,nile1 by the ,heat of the ,sun in ,egypt1 which might very well pass for ,truth among those who fancied they saw every ,day something of the like ,nature3 ,i mean in the ,corruption of ,flesh and other ,things1 in which we behold ,thousands of living ,creatures4 ,,an ,italian ,philosopher destroyed this whole ,doctrine at once1 by a simple and easy ,experiment4 ,he exposed a ,piece of raw ,flesh in a glass ,vessel well covered with ,gauze to the ,air and ,sun1 and found that it putrefied without producing any living ,creatures4 ,this shews how careful we ought to be with ,respect to ,facts2 for till this ,experiment was made1 no ,body doubted that ,vermin were bred by1 as well as in putrefied ,bodies2 whereas we are now satisfied that the ,heat of the ,sun can no more produce a ,worm or a ,maggot1 than a ,horse or an ,elephant4 ,by the same ,examination we might open the ,way to ,knowledge1 by driving out a ,multitude of other ,errors4 ,but the ,humour of taking ,things for granted without inquiring into them1 and then endeavouring to account for them by dint of ,reasoning1 amuses us with a false shew of ,wisdom1 and encourages us to persist obstinately in the ,maintenance of weak and foolish ,notions4 ,,to apply this to the ,subject of which we are treating4 ,it is certainly a curious and a useful ,thing to understand the ,nature of the ,weather1 and to know how the ,changes that happen in it come to pass4 ,the ,business is to find out the true ,way of coming at this kind of ,knowledge1 and upon the ,principles that ,i have advanced1 it is very evident that the1 only certain ,way of coming at it is by ,observation4 ,this is a slow but a sure ,method of arriving at ,truth1 and the ,specimen here given us1 of one ,man's ,observations1 is enough to convince us that a little ,diligence and ,application would soon go a great ,way towards forming a ,body of such ,observations as might enable us to understand the ,weather thoroughly1 and to predict its ,changes and ,alterations with a great ,degree of ,certainty4 ,if we will not take this ,pains1 we must content ourselves with what hath been already discovered1 or if our ,conditions of ,life exclude us from the ,opportunities of making such ,observations1 it is certainly a right ,thing to help ourselves by inquiring into1 and reasoning upon such ,observations as other ,people have made and to facilitate this as far as possible1 ,i have taken the ,pains to write this ,commentary upon our ,shepherd's ,rules2 which ,i hope will render them more useful1 or at least secure them that ,regard which they deserve4 ,,there remains therefore nothing more for me to do in order to recommend these ,observations1 but to say somewhat with ,respect to the ,utility of the ,alterations of the ,weather in general1 and in particular2 in order to satisfy the ,reader that there is nothing of ,chance or ,accident in such ,alterations1 but that they are governed in every ,respect by the same unerring ,wisdom1 that at first framed and constantly preserves the ,universe4 ,all ,weathers are at sometimes reasonable1 which shews that they are good in themselves1 and only accidentally evil4 ,we ought not to measure ,things of a general ,nature1 by particular ,rules4 ,if by the ,direction of ,providence the ,succession of ,seasons be such1 as that they turn to the good of ,mankind in the whole2 it is no ,objection to1 or ,diminution of ,providence that this ,succession of ,seasons should at different ,times be injurious to certain ,countries1 because this may likewise be accounted for4 ,,as to ,particulars we will begin with the ,air1 which is composed of ,exhalations of all earthly ,bodies1 as well solid as fluid1 as also of ,fire1 whether of the ,sun or the ,stars1 or of earthly ,bodies burnt1 or of ,fire breaking out from the ,entrails of the ,earth1 and ascending1 and though it be thus compounded1 and hath swimming in it ,multitudes of other ,things1 yet we find that it is perfectly wholesome1 is the ,spring of ,motion1 and of ,life to ,men1 and all other ,animals2 so that though we cannot account for1 and perhaps have not a ,power of comprehending how such a mixed ,body can be rendered salutary3 yet since it is certain1 that so it is1 we have no ,right to complain either of the evil ,consequences that sometimes attend the ,exhalations with which it is filled1 or the ,accidents that flow from the frequent ,alterations that happen therein1 because these have a visible ,tendency to the general good1 and are apparently necessary to the ,preservation of the ,universe1 so that before we can have any ,title to find fault1 we must first shew that we are capable of understanding them in their full ,extent1 and as this is impossible1 it follows that must be unreasonable4 ,,but this appears still the more clearly1 when it is considered1 that all such ,alterations may be shewn even from the ,light of ,reason to be generally useful1 notwithstanding they sometimes appear troublesome and noxious4 ,for ,instance1 such quick ,streams of ,air in ,motion as we call ,winds1 though they sometimes swell into ,storms and ,tempests1 yet are they of great ,benefit to ,mankind1 by purging the ,air1 and many other ,conveniences4 ,it is a ,proverb at ,vienna1 that if ,austria be not windy it is sickly2 and this ,saying is no less true in other ,countries1 for by consulting the ,history of the last great ,plague that raged here in #afff1 it will be found that there was in a ,manner a dead ,calm during the ,time of the ,sickness1 and it is known in ,egypt1 where they have ,plagues annually1 that the ,change of the ,wind delivers them from that ,evil4 ,add to this the great ,use of ,winds in ,navigation1 and reflect on the ,benefits that accrue there from1 and we shall see no ,cause whatever to doubt that this ,motion of the ,air is a very wise ,contrivance4 ,,the ,condensation of ,vapours1 which is the ,cause of ,rain1 is another great ,benefit to the ,world1 in as much as this is very probably supposed to be the ,source of ,fountains1 ,rivers1 ,lakes1 and other ,magazines of fresh ,water1 without which the ,earth would be uninhabitable1 and to which in a very great ,measure its ,fertility is owing4 ,we ought likewise to remember that though this be in itself so clear1 and at the same ,time so certain1 yet there are ,countries in the ,world where it very seldom rains1 as in ,egypt1 and others where it hardly ever rains1 as in ,peru2 so that we see there is no raising general ,doctrines upon this ,subject1 which ought to make us the more tender in disputing the ,will of ,providence1 or repining when it happens to cross our own4 ,,the ,uses of ,snow are as great though less apparent1 of which ,i shall mention but three4 ,the first is its preserving ,herbs and ,grass in the ,winter against the ,severity of ,frost2 secondly1 its supplying ,water to ,brooks and ,rivers2 and lastly1 its furnishing the ,earth with vast ,quantities of ,nitre1 and thereby conducing greatly to its ,fertility1 and perhaps the same thing may be said of ,frost1 hard ,winters being often succeeded by luxuriant ,summers1 and thus we find that what in ,appearance causes ,scarcity1 may in ,reality produce ,plenty4 ,,lastly1 even ,thunder1 however terrible in its ,appearance1 and sometimes fatal in its ,effects1 is nevertheless very useful and beneficial upon the whole1 for this likewise purifies the ,air from sulphureous and oily ,exhalations1 and the ,rains that fall with it fertilize the ,earth exceedingly4 ,it also moderates the ,heat as ,experience teaches us1 for as it is always gloomy and sultry before ,thunder1 so it is afterwards generally cool and pleasant4 ,these ,remarks1 though very short1 may give the ,reader an ,opportunity of extending his ,observations throughout all the ,variations of ,weather1 and enable him to discern how useful and instructive a thing the ,study of its ,alterations may be1 and how probable it is1 that by proper ,care and ,attention1 we may arrive at a much more useful1 as well as a much more certain ,knowledge in regard to the ,weather1 than hitherto has been attained4 ,,finis4